Opinion

BOFIT: Russia’s overall economic performance steady in February; construction investment has supported wartime growth

Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) April 13, 2024

The central factor supporting Russian economic growth last year was the sharp increase in fixed capital investment. Increased budget spending was also used to finance investments.

PANNIER: Caspian military drills that exclude Russia and Iran have some people in Moscow asking questions

Bruce Pannier April 12, 2024

Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan going ahead with “Birlestik-2024”. Russian consternation is growing.

COMMENT: The Three Seas Initiative's digital imperative

Dominykas Tuckus in Vilnius April 12, 2024

While digital infrastructure in the region is growing, support infrastructure designed to handle the growth in demand is what requires investment.

TEHRAN BLOG: Are Iran and Israel going to war? It’s already begun

bne bureau April 8, 2024

The Middle East is no stranger to tension, and recent developments have brought the delicate balance of peace and conflict in the region to international attention.

Crisis Group warns resolution of conflict between Serbia and Kosovo increasingly distant

bne IntelliNews April 3, 2024

There is “scant hope” of Belgrade and Pristina overcoming their difficulties and normalising relations, says a new Crisis Group report.

CENUSA: Geopolitics prevails in the EU accession agenda for Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova

Denis Cenusa April 3, 2024

The destabilisation of Eastern Europe created a paradigm shift in terms of EU enlargement.

BOFIT: Forecast for Russia sees lower economic growth ahead

Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) March 31, 2024

In the March update of BOFIT"s Forecast for Russia 2024-2026 capacity constraints will become a major cause of Russia’s economic slowdown this year.

COMMENT: Asian central banks likely to start cutting rates soon

bne IntelliNews March 28, 2024

Central banks across emerging Asia are poised to implement interest rate cuts in the coming months, driven by declining inflation and tepid domestic demand.

COMMENT: Overheating in Russia and Turkey, but CEE recovering

Ben Aris in Berlin March 27, 2024

The economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), which experienced a period of stagnation last year, are poised for a modest revival in 2024, but both the Russian and Turkish economies are already overheating.

UBN: Russia could take the Baltic states in 48 hours

Andrew Pryma of UBN in Kyiv March 21, 2024

Russian forces must only make an offensive push for 250km to cut the Baltic states from Europe.

COMMENT: Rising tension between France and Azerbaijan is a drag on peace process with Armenia

Seymur Mammadov in Baku March 19, 2024

France is taking independent steps regarding the South Caucasus, as French President Emmanuel Macron attempts to bolster his role as a top European leader.

Illiberal axis between Budapest and Balkans threatens regional stability, analyst warns

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow March 15, 2024

Hungarian PM Viktor Orban’s close ties with leaders of Serbia and Bosnia’s Republika Srpska have encouraged nationalism and authoritarian tendencies with negative consequences for stability, says paper published by EPC.

PANNIER: Kyrgyz cabinet chief’s strictures on public behaviour have echoes of Iran and Afghanistan

Bruce Pannier March 13, 2024

Scruffy trolleybus passengers and wayward daughters-in-law among Akylbek Japarov’s targets, as well as that old favourite, lavish wedding receptions.

With Russia and Serbia distracted, Montenegro takes aim at EU accession progress

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow March 11, 2024

Milojko Spajic's government tries to seize window of opportunity, but still risks derailment by domestic political conflicts.

COMMENT: How deep is the crisis in Poland’s Law and Justice party?

Aleks Szczerbiak in Brighton March 11, 2024

With important local elections coming up in April and to the European Parliament in June, the party faces one of its most serious crises.

CENUSA: Europe needs to reduce the risks of destabilisation in its eastern neighbourhood

Denis Cenusa in Giessen March 8, 2024

Candidate states for EU accession such as Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia remain in a zone of insecurity where Russia can intervene minimally in a hybrid way.

Two years later: addressing long-term consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – Bruegel discussion

Ben Aris in Peterborough March 8, 2024

Sanctions on Russia have had mixed results after two years of war, inflicting real pain on the Russian economy, but the lack of effective enforcement has muted their effect, a panel organised by Brussels-based think-tank Bruegel.

KSE: Ukraine’s state debt review 2023

Kyiv School of Economics Center of Public Finance and Governance March 6, 2024

In 2023, the combined state debt and state-guaranteed debt increased by 30.4% to $145.3bn, representing 85% of the estimated GDP (up from 49% in 2021 and 77.8% in 2022).

Two ways of fighting Putin: Navalny vs Maidan

Leonid Ragozin in Riga March 1, 2024

February is the new August in Russia. Ever since the 1991 coup that ended Soviet communism August was reputed to be the month of black swans that changed the course of Russian history.

How Albania went from isolated basketcase to diplomatic powerhouse

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow February 28, 2024

Albania has been transformed from an isolated country whose name evoked poverty, drugs and crime to an increasingly prominent player on the world stage.

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