Russia’s external debt falls 10.5% to $343.3bn year to date
As of June 30, 2023, external debt of the Russian Federation amounted to $343.3bn, having decreased by 10.5% since the end of 2022, the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) said in its latest bulletin on October 10.
The reduction in external debt was mainly due to a decline in debt on loans raised by other sectors from affiliated foreign companies, including as a part of issue of Eurobonds, as well as a decrease in the volume of non-resident funds in Russian banks accounts.
General government debt owed to non-residents decreased by 50.6%, compared to June 30, 2022, total foreign debt liabilities of central bank and banks dropped by 17.6%, with the external debt of other sectors declining by 26.7%.
From January to June 2023, the reduction in the debt in the domestic currency was influenced by decrease in the debt on sovereign debt securities. The decrease in the debt denominated in foreign currencies was mainly registered in long-term loans raised within the framework of direct investment relationship.
1023 Russia macro debt annual rate of debt dynamics CBR
1023 Russia macro debt annual rate of debt dynamics USD CBR
Russia’s strong growth, driven by heavy military spending, has created growing inflationary pressure as the economy starts to overheat, the Bank of Finland institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT) says in its weekly update.
In the most recent poll conducted by the Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM), President Vladimir Putin's trust rating remained steady at 78.5%.
Ukraine’s leading investment bank Dragon Capital has cut its GDP forecast for Ukraine in 2024 in half to 4% y/y in anticipation of another year of war, The New Voice of Ukraine reported on December 7.
Czech industrial production increased by 1.9% year on year and by 2.8% month on month in October. The October increase follows a 5% slump registered in September, which alarmed local analysts.
Since 2018, economy has carried risk of severe balance of payments crisis. For the removal of that risk, the central bank’s net in and off-balance sheet FX position should at least turn positive.
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