Putin deepens ties with Kazakhstan with nuclear power plant deal and renewed friendship declaration during state visit

Putin deepens ties with Kazakhstan with nuclear power plant deal and renewed friendship declaration during state visit
A second state visit in a single presidential term signals Moscow's anxiety about Central Asia's hedging — but Astana's simultaneous cultivation of China, the West and alternative trade routes tells its own story / bne IntelliNews
By Ben Aris in Berlin May 28, 2026

Vladimir Putin arrived in Astana on Wednesday for a three-day state visit to Kazakhstan — his second to the country in a single presidential term — trailing a delegation of more than 30 senior officials and business figures and bearing a package of economic agreements designed to anchor Moscow's ties in the region that has been careful to keep the Kremlin at arm’s length despite deep economic ties.

The visit, themed "Russia-Kazakhstan: An Alliance at the Heart of Eurasia," produced a series of concrete deals and declarations. Russia and Kazakhstan signed a ruble-tenge currency swap arrangement, with Bank of Russia governor Elvira Nabiullina and National Bank of Kazakhstan governor Timur Suleimenov signing the agreement on May 28 in Astana. Moscow also agreed to provide financing for a new nuclear plant that Russia's state-run Rosatom was selected last year to build.

President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev thanked Putin for endorsing plans to build the NPP — Kazakhstan's first. The country expects Russia to finance 85% of the plant, which is projected to be commissioned around 2035-36. The plant, estimated to cost $16.5bn, represents the largest single capital project in the bilateral relationship and a deepening of energy ties between the two states that already cooperate closely on oil exports.

The two presidents also signed a joint declaration on the "Seven Principles of Friendship and Good Neighbourliness Between Kazakhstan and Russia" — a document that formalises what Kremlin officials describe as an "unprecedentedly high level" of bilateral relations, a status Russia has officially granted only to China, Iran and North Korea. In all, 16 documents were signed during the visit.

Putin described the strategic partnership as "an important factor for peace, stability, and socioeconomic development across Eurasia," adding that Russia regards "strong and prosperous" Kazakhstan with "deep respect." He stressed that bilateral ties are grounded in "friendship, good-neighbourliness and mutually beneficial cooperation."

Trade is also one of the most important dynamics. Bilateral trade turnover between Kazakhstan and Russia reached $27.4bn by end-2025, accounting for 19.6% of Kazakhstan's total foreign trade, and rose 16.2% y/y in the first quarter of 2026. Russia is Kazakhstan's largest source of imports, with a 33.3% share. Tokayev estimated that the two countries are working on 177 joint projects valued at almost $53bn. Putin noted that Russian investment in Kazakhstan has reached nearly $30bn, with around 70 major joint projects creating more than 60,000 jobs. Tokayev expressed confidence that bilateral trade would shortly exceed $30bn annually.

Beyond the headline nuclear financing agreement, the two sides deepened their energy partnership in several other directions. Kazakhstan expanded its gas partnership with Russia to boost what Astana describes as its ambition to become a Eurasian energy hub.

The visit comes in the context of broader Eurasian Economic Union meetings, which the Kremlin has been promoting for years as a FSU version of the EU. Putin chaired the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council in Astana, at which the bloc's five members discussed deeper economic integration including, notably, Armenia's declared intention to pursue EU membership in parallel with its EEU obligations.

Kazakhstan's balancing act

The diplomatic choreography is part of balancing the interests of Russia, China, the West, Central Asia, where major energy corridors intersect. Astana has been careful throughout the Ukraine war to maintain what it describes as a multivector foreign policy — expressing support for Ukraine's territorial integrity at the United Nations while simultaneously deepening economic ties with Moscow and expanding the Trans-Caspian Middle Corridor that routes trade between China and Europe through Kazakhstan, bypassing Russia.

The same strategy has been adopted by the other four ‘Stans that are increasingly coordinating in the so-called “C5” format. More recently that has been expanded to a new “C6” format with the inclusion of Azerbaijan in the Caucuses, which can act as a bridge to Europe from Central Asia.

Kazakhstan's development of alternative transport routes, including the Middle Corridor that dramatically reduces cargo transit time between Asia and Europe. The corridor is in competition with the so-called Northern Corridor that runs through Russia and is aimed at diversifying logistics — a hedge that Moscow has noted and has quietly been lobbying against. Putin's presence in Astana for a second state visit in a single term is, among other things, a signal that the Kremlin is having to work harder to maintain relationships it once took for granted.

The Russian delegation's composition underscores the point. Nabiullina was also joined by Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov highlighting the geopolitical context of the trip and the importance of the EEU talks in addition to commercial cooperation and energy investments.

For Kazakhstan, the relationship with Russia remains economically indispensable. For Russia, Kazakhstan is a critical corridor for sanctions circumvention, a source of legitimacy in its claim to lead a viable Eurasian alternative to Western-led institutions, and part of the multipolar world focused on the Global South that Putin is trying to build.

 

 

 

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