Early voting accounts for almost half ballots cast in Russia’s regional elections

Early voting accounts for almost half ballots cast in Russia’s regional elections
Early voting (dark blue) accounted for almost half the ballots cast in Russia’s regional elections.
By Ben Aris in Berlin September 15, 2020

Early votes accounted for more than 50% of ballots cast during Russia’s important regional elections held on September 13, raising concerns of vote rigging.

The contests included four single-seat State Duma constituencies, 18 gubernatorial races, 11 regional parliament elections, city council votes in 22 regional capitals, and competitions for city government offices in 33 other cities.

As bne IntelliNews has reported, the opposition scored a few successes in the vote to elect over a dozen governors and members of regional and city councils, but the vast majority of races were won by the incumbent ruling party, United Russia. The poll was seen as a dry run of the Kremlin’s political machine ahead of the crucial 2021 parliamentary elections.

Following changes to the constitution voted through earlier this year, a new system was introduced that allows voters to vote early online. The system has been heavily criticised, as it makes ballot stuffing much easier and Belarus' self-appointed President Alexander Lukashenko used the same system of early voting to massively falsify the results of the presidential vote in his country on August 9, in cheating that was evidenced by a statistical study of the results.

“In Russia, in the majority of regions where there were regional and local elections on 13 September, the reported "early voting" (dark blue in chart) contributed over 50% of total reported turnout. "Early voting" is used as a method of electoral rigging,” tweeted Alex Kokcharov, a political analyst at IHS Markit.

Russia's Jewish Autonomous Oblast recorded the highest early voting turnout almost 58% of the electorate cast ballots before Sunday thanks to record-high "stump voting" or ballots collected by roving informal polling stations set up in cars or markets. 

Early voting was one of several tricks used by the Kremlin to ensure it kept a grip on power in the regions. In one hotly contested race in Novosibirsk, the opposition managed to break United Russia’s control over the city council. Sergey Boyko, a member of anti-corruption blogger and opposition activist Alexei Navalny’s opposition movement, won the election to head the council.

However, United Russia eventually took control of the council after several “independent” candidates decided to join the United Russia fraction after the results were announced.

“In Novosibirsk, Russia, the ruling United Russia party won only 23 out of 50 seats in the city council. But it is likely to keep majority in the city council as several "independent" candidates decided to join UR faction, which will have 27-29 members,” Kokcharov added.

The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) was the main contender in the regional elections as the only opposition party with a large grassroots political organisation. However, its candidates were excluded from several races on technical grounds. The party said it will challenge the results in those races.