Central Europe / Data
Extreme poverty falling steadily – OWID
To track progress towards ending extreme poverty, the United Nations relies on World Bank estimates of the number of people living below a poverty threshold called the “International Poverty Line” (IPL), Our World in Data (OWID) reports.
Two thirds of Germans fear a Russian invasion fuelling far-right election gains in western heartland
Public anxiety over a potential Russian attack on Nato territory has surged in Germany following the recent drone incursion on September 10 into Polish airspace that coincided with sharp gains by the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).
One in three Poles blame Ukraine for the drone incursion into Polish airspace
For the first time during the full-scale war in Ukraine, Poland has shot down multiple Russian drones in its airspace on September 10, but a third of Poles have blamed the strike on Ukraine, not Russia, according to a poll.
India, China, Europe, all face population declines by the end of the century – OWID
This chart tracks the UN’s latest demographic projections for four large populations: India, China, Europe, and the United States. Together, they account for about half of today’s world population, Our World in Data (OWID) reports.
Half of Poles now against Ukraine joining Nato – poll
Just over half of Poles (53%) are now against Ukraine joining Nato, while only a third (33.5%) support the idea, according to to a recent poll conducted by the IBRiS institute for the Polish newspaper Rzeczpospolita on August 29-30.
Polish central bank trims rate to 4.75% as inflation nears target
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) cut its reference interest rate by 25bp to 4.75% on September 3, in line with market expectations.
Nato’s Zeitenwende to reach 2% spending goal – Statista
New data released last week by Nato exemplifies how profoundly the realities of foreign relations have changed over the course of the past three years, Statista reports.
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Czech GDP improved to 2.6% in Q2 after refinement
Improved GDP figures came as a positive surprise to local market analysts.
Economic sentiment improves across Central and Eastern Europe despite new US tariffs
Economic sentiment in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) rose in August, indicating a potential acceleration in regional GDP growth to around 2.5% y/y, according to a note published by Nicholas Farr, emerging Europe economist at Capital Economics.
EU commits to huge increase in energy imports from US - Statista
One of the key components of the trade deal that the European Union and the US agreed upon on July 27 is the EU’s commitment to massively ramp up energy imports from the United States, Statista reports.
Poland weathers tariff pressures to remain an EU growth leader
Poland’s economy continued to outperform in the second quarter despite mounting global trade tensions, according to Nicholas Farr, Emerging Europe Economist at Capital Economics.
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Czech National Bank keeps interest rate at 3.5%
Regulator expects inflation to oscillate above 2% for the remainder of the year.
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Czech industry maintains slight growth of 0.2% y/y in June, while construction booms by 14% y/y
Local analysts do not expect a significant revival in the country’s industrial production as international trade is projected to remain unstable in the second half of 2025.
Hungary's industry remains deep in recession with no end in sight
The continued slump was largely driven by weak external demand, while structural issues in the automotive sector, Hungary's key industrial segment, have further amplified the downturn.
US effective tariff rate at 17% after July duties adjustment - Fitch
The United States’ effective tariff rate (ETR) has settled at 17% following the latest reciprocal duty announcements on July 27 and July 31, according to Fitch Ratings.
Czech manufacturers PMI falls to 49.7 despite higher output, more orders
Czechia’s manufacturing sector recorded a renewed deterioration in operating conditions in July, despite continued gains in output and new orders, as firms accelerated job cuts and scaled back inventories amid persistent uncertainty.
Poland’s inflation falls within central bank’s target in July, flash estimate shows
Poland’s CPI growth eased to 3.1% year on year in July from 4.1% y/y the preceding month, the country’s statistical office GUS said in a flash estimate on July 31. (chart)
IMF corrects growth forecast upwards – Statista
Despite uncertain market conditions amid the Trump administration's tariff regime and major global conflicts, the International Monetary Fund has upped its global economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 slightly, Statista reported on July 30.
Czech central banker sees limited scope for more rate cuts
The Czech National Bank (CNB) governor Jakub Seidler says he sees “limited scope” for more rate cuts due to persistent services inflaton, Reuters reported on July 30.
