Belarus

#BREAKING Belarus authorities try to forcibly expel Kolesnikova, who rips up passport and is detained at Ukraine border

Ben Aris in Berlin September 8, 2020

“This is terror at the state level. Stalin's KGB methods in action. National Coordination Council leaders are being abducted by masked men. By night, then they end up either in prison or in neighbouring countries," tweets local journalist.

Belarusian opposition leader Maria Kolesnikova listed as "missing person"

Ben Aris in Berlin September 8, 2020

Opposition leaders Maria Kolesnikova, Anton Radniankou and Ivan Kravcov all went missing on September 7, assumed snatched by security services. Police say they have mounted a hunt for Kolesnikova.

MITTELEUROPEAN INSIGHTS: Belarus – out of the frying pan and into the “Rublezone”

Gunter Deuber Head of Research at Raiffeisen Bank International and Marcus How Head of Research & Analysis at ViennEast Consulting in Vienna September 8, 2020

Belarus’ faked presidential election shows how quickly a domestic problem can become international and geopolitical. Moscow looks set to force Minsk into a “Rublezone” deal that will tie their economies much closer together.

Kazakhstan headhunts Belarusian IT developers, in vain so far

Almaz Kumenov for Eurasianet September 7, 2020

Astana Hub hoping political unrest could tempt some specialists into coming their way.

Belarus is bleeding money as reserves fall $1.4bn in a month

bne IntelliNews September 7, 2020

Belarus’ hard currency reserves fell by $1.4bn to $7.46bn as of September 1, down some 16% from $8.8bn (including gold) just before the current protests began in early August, according to National Bank of the Republic of Belarus (NBRB).

#UPDATED Maria Kolesnikova and two colleagues go missing

Ben Aris in Belrin September 7, 2020

Reports on social media describe her as abducted and bundled into a van in central Minsk on the morning of September 7, apparently picked up by police.

Lukashenko unleashes the Titushki as the people unmask the OMON

Ben Aris in Berlin September 7, 2020

At least 100,000 Belarusians took to the streets of Minsk again on Sunday, September 6 for the weekly mass demonstration against Belarus' self-appointed President Alexander Lukashenko under the slogan “all for one and one for all"

A general strike in Belarus could bring the Lukashenko regime down, but so far it has failed to reach critical mass

Ben Aris in Berlin September 4, 2020

A general strike by Belarus blue collar workers could bring the Lukashenko regime down, but it has failed to reach critical mass, leading to an uncomfortable standoff

Lukashenko’s crackdown leads to exodus of IT professionals

Ben Aris in Berlin September 4, 2020

The restart of Belarus' self-appointed President Alexander Lukashenko's brutal crackdown on protesters has led to a growing exodus of IT professionals that will destroy one of the country’s most successful sectors.

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin arrives in Minsk to close on a “Rublezone” Union State deal

Ben Aris in Berlin September 3, 2020

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin unexpectedly arrived in Minsk with a large delegation of top Russian ministers on September 3 to work out the details of a deal that will create a “Rublezone” Union State.

Belarus’s economy in danger of a crisis in the face of sustained popular protests, says IIF

Ben Aris in Berlin September 2, 2020

Gripped by mass protests and a general strike, Belarus will struggle to meet its debt obligations this year and faces a serious economic crisis, reports the Institute of International Finance (IIF) in a paper released on September 2.

Back to school: Belarusian students and school children clash with police

Ben Aris in Berlin September 2, 2020

Self-appointed President Lukashenko's OMON riot police arrest students and school children.

Bonds of Belarus leading supermarket Eurotorg a golden buying opportunity, says VTBC

Ben Aris in Berlin September 1, 2020

Bankers have been eyeing up Belarus’ leading supermarket chain and say that the current political crisis in the country is a golden buying opportunity to get into one of the best growth stories the republic has to offer.

Opposition leaders Viktor Babariko and Maria Kolesnikova found political party “Together”

bne IntelliNews September 1, 2020

The jailed ex-banker Viktor Babariko and Maria Kolesnikova, one of the trio of women that campaigned against Lukashenko, have founded a new political party called “Together” to fight in new elections the opposition hope to bring about.

Lukashenko suggests changing the constitution again as Tikhanovskaya invited to address UN Security Council

bne IntelliNews August 31, 2020

Belarus' self-appointed President Alexander Lukashenko attempted to calm his citizens again after another weekend of demonstrations by suggesting changing the constitution, as opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya is invited to address the UN.

People numbers and girl power overwhelm Lukashenko's riot police in Belarus' twin weekend rallies

Ben Aris in Berlin August 31, 2020

20,000 women marched in Minsk on Saturday and at least 200,000 people filled the streets on Sunday to call for the resignation of President Alexander Lukashenko overwhelming the police deployed to prevent the rally from happening.

Belarus unrest increases banking sector vulnerabilities says Fitch

Ben Aris in Berlin August 28, 2020

Belarus' political crisis is exacerbating risks to its banks' financial profiles, with the initial impact on their funding and liquidity positions, Fitch Ratings said.

Lukashenko to impose sanctions on Lithuania and Poland as the Belarusian women get ready to march in protest

Ben Aris in Berlin, Linas Jegelevicius in Vilnius August 28, 2020

Belarus' self-appointed president Alexander Lukashenko threatened to impose sanctions on Lithuania and Poland and block the transit of goods in reprisal for sanctions the two countries have already imposed on him.

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