Ukraine

Russia automotive output slumps to levels of first months of Ukraine war as demand slumps

Ben Aris in Berlin November 4, 2025

Russia’s automotive industry — once a symbol of the country’s industrial ambitions — has entered another sharp downturn, reversing the fragile recovery seen in 2023 and early 2024.

MOSCOW BLOG: Western coverage of the Ukraine war turns negative

Ben Aris in Berlin November 4, 2025

After more than three years of throwing their support behind Kyiv’s defence of Ukraine following Russia’s invasion and pushing a narrative of “stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes,” the Western press has turned starkly negative in recent weeks.

Russia launches Khabarovsk nuclear submarine designed to deploy nuclear-capable Poseidon drones

Ben Aris in Berlin November 2, 2025

Russia has launched a new strategic nuclear submarine, the Khabarovsk, which is capable of carrying a dozen of the Kremlin’s recently unveiled nuclear-powered Poseidon torpedo—a next-generation weapons system that Putin called "unstoppable."

Ukraine’s elite HUR forces turn the tide in the battle for Pokrovsk, as Russia’s effort to capture key logistics hub fails

Ben Aris in Berlin November 1, 2025

The battle for Pokrovsk became intense early on November 1and it looked like the fall of the key logistics hub to Russia was imminent. But a bold counterattack by Ukraine’s elite HUR forces seems to have turned the tide.

Russia faces $50bn annual losses from oil sanctions as Lukoil exits international assets

Ben Aris in Berlin October 31, 2025

Russia is expected to lose at least $50bn annually due to oil-related sanctions, as Moscow’s largest private oil producer Lukoil agrees to sell its international assets and Germany considers nationalising operations owned by state-run Rosneft.

Situation critical in Ukraine’s frontline key logistics hub Pokrovsk

Ben Aris in Berlin October 30, 2025

Russian infantry units have breached Ukrainian defensive lines and entered the key eastern logistics hub of Pokrovsk, sparking intense street fighting and threatening to encircle Ukrainian forces as the situation becomes "critical."

Trump–Xi dialogue in Busan aims to cool tariff dispute

bno - Busan Office October 30, 2025

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping began direct discussions on October 30, marking their first in person meeting since Trump returned to the White House.

COMMENT: EU's LNG import ban won’t break Russia, but it will render the sector’s further growth fiendishly hard

bne IntelliNews October 29, 2025

The European Union’s nineteenth sanctions package against Russia marks a pivotal escalation in the bloc’s energy strategy, which will impose a comprehensive ban on Russian LNG imports beginning January 1, 2027.

The Arctic and Antarctica record "off the charts" heat as polar warming accelerates

Ben Aris in Berlin October 29, 2025

Parts of both the Arctic and Antarctic have experienced historically high temperatures in recent weeks, with weather stations in East Antarctica recording record-breaking warmth for the month of October, alarming climate scientists.

Ruble strengthens as sanctioned oil companies repatriate cash

Ben Aris in Berlin October 29, 2025

The Russian ruble strengthened after the Trump administration imposed oil sanctions on Russia’s leading oil companies, extending a rally that began after the Biden administration imposed oil sanctions on Russia in January.

Zelenskiy allows the start of controlled arms exports

Ben Aris in Berlin October 29, 2025

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy ordered Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence to begin the controlled export of domestically produced weapons starting in November for the first time in the hope of boosting production and attracting investment.

Ukraine's trade deficit doubles to $42bn putting new pressure on an already strained economy

bne IntelliNews October 28, 2025

Ukraine’s trade deficit has doubled to $42bn as exports fall and imports balloon. The balance of payments deficit is starting to turn into a serious problem that could undermine the country’s macroeconomic stability.

KSE: Ukraine is facing a $53bn budget shortfall, but economy is stable for now

bne IntelliNews October 28, 2025

Ukraine is in urgent need of additional financing from partners as the continuation of the war drives up defence spending and reconstruction needs, jeopardizes budget financing, weighs on the balance of payments, and slows economic growth.

MOSCOW BLOG: Lukoil to sell foreign assets due to US oil sanctions

Ben Aris in Berlin October 28, 2025

Russian oil major Lukoil said it would sell its foreign assets in a press release yesterday after it was hit with US oil sanctions.

Russia's Lukoil to sell international assets as a result of new US oil sanctions

Ben Aris in Berlin October 28, 2025

Russia's second-largest oil producer, the privately owned Lukoil, will sell its international assets as a result of the new oil sanctions imposed by US President Donald Trump last week.

Ukraine accuses Russia of using energy blackmail against Serbia

Tatyana Kekic in Belgrade October 27, 2025

Ukraine says Moscow is repeating tactics it previously deployed against Kyiv after Russia refuses to sell its stake in Serbia's NIS.

MOSCOW BLOG: Dmitriev goes to Washington

Ben Aris in Berlin October 27, 2025

That didn’t work well. Kirill Dmitriev, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s special envoy on Ukraine who has been leading business talks with the US, shot off to Washington within two days of US President Donald Trump imposing oil sanctions.

Zelenskiy accuses China of aiding Russia’s war effort through industrial and military support

bne IntelliNews October 27, 2025

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy accused China of materially supporting Russia’s military-industrial complex, providing key technologies and resources that have enabled Moscow to sustain and scale its war effort against Ukraine.

US Treasury Secretary Bessent blasts “Russian propagandist” special envoy Dmitriev in Washington PR debacle

Ben Aris in Berlin October 27, 2025

A trip to Washington by the Kremlin’s special business envoy Kirill Dmitriev days after the US imposed new oil sanctions turned into a debacle after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent blasted him as a “Russian propagandist.”

COMMENT: Europe’s “fake it till you make it” war approach cannot hold off Russia’s trillion dollar war machine

Matthew Blackburn is a Senior Researcher at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs, Patricia Marins is an independent analyst focusing on defence and security in Europe and Eurasia October 27, 2025

In their speeches on the war in Ukraine, European leaders appear like a video clip looped on repeat. Standing before the cameras they declare new packages of support for Kyiv and threaten new measures to pressure Russia as if it was still 2022.

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