Ukrainians' willingness to endure the war rebounds to 61%, KIIS poll finds

Ukrainians' willingness to endure the war rebounds to 61%, KIIS poll finds
The share of Ukrainians ready to fight on for as long as it takes has recovered sharply since April, even as most still expect the war to run well into 2027 or beyond. / bne IntelliNews
By Ben Aris in Berlin August 9, 2026

The share of Ukrainians who say they are willing to endure the war for as long as it takes has risen to 61%, up from a low of 48% in April, according to a poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted July 20-August 3 among 974 respondents in government-controlled territory.

The rebound comes even as expectations of a swift end to the fighting remain low. Only 5% of respondents expect the war to end as soon as summer 2026, and a further 15% expect it to end in the autumn or winter of 2026; 15% expect it to end in the first half of 2027, and 45% expect it to run into the second half of 2027 or later, with the remaining 19% offering no firm view — leaving a clear majority bracing for the conflict to run well beyond this year.

On the terms of any eventual settlement, the poll found 60% of Ukrainians consider it completely unacceptable to withdraw troops from Donbas at Russia's demand in exchange for US and European security guarantees; 27% called it a painful but acceptable trade-off, and just 5% said they would readily agree to it. A separate, identically-sized 60% of respondents said they would accept freezing the war along the current front line in exchange for security guarantees — a combination that suggests resistance is now aimed less at any pause in the fighting than at a settlement that formally signs away land.

The poll also points to a striking degree of confidence in Ukraine's ability to keep fighting despite battlefield pressure: 77% of respondents said that while Russia is advancing, it is doing so very slowly and at enormous cost, and that Ukraine remains capable of mounting effective resistance. Only 12% said further resistance was futile.

Asked how much longer they personally were prepared to endure the war, 61% said for as long as necessary, 20% said for another several months to half a year, and 5% said for another year — a breakdown that, taken together with the timeline question, suggests most Ukrainians have made peace with a long war rather than expecting an imminent end to it.

The swing back toward endurance follows a spring in which war fatigue was laid bare by an anti-conscription riot in Lviv and Zelenskiy's own approval ratings slid through the summer, underlining how volatile Ukrainian public opinion on the war has become as it grinds into a fifth calendar year with no ceasefire in sight.

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