Amidst the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel, Armenia is growing increasingly anxious about the potential regional repercussions, particularly with regard to the country's security and sovereignty.
On 17 June, the Iranian ambassador to Armenia, Mehdi Sobhani, reiterated Tehran's opposition to any attempts to alter regional borders. He specifically rejected the proposed Azerbaijani 'Zangezur Corridor' through Armenia's Syunik Province. Sobhani said that Iran's 'red lines' remain unchanged despite its ongoing military engagements with Israel.
This reaffirmation comes amid growing unease in Armenia, where many fear that a destabilised Iran could give Azerbaijan the confidence to pursue its territorial ambitions, which could compromise Armenia's territorial integrity. The Syunik province, which borders Iran, is seen by Azerbaijan as a strategic corridor to connect its mainland with the Nakhichevan exclave.
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has condemned Israel's recent strikes on Iranian facilities, labelling them a threat to regional stability. However, his government's perceived lack of proactive measures to address potential security threats has drawn criticism from opposition leaders and the public alike.
Opposition figures such as Hayk Mamijanyan of the Pativ Unem bloc have voiced concerns that Azerbaijan could exploit the current turmoil to attack Armenia. Similarly, Gegham Manukyan of the Armenian Revolutionary Federation has emphasised the dangers posed by Azerbaijan's close military ties with Israel, particularly in light of recent Turkish-Azerbaijani military exercises in Nakhichevan.
The Armenian public shares these concerns. A recent survey indicated that the majority of Armenians feel the country is heading in the wrong direction, citing national security and border issues as their main concerns. Public trust in the government's ability to protect the nation has declined, with many citizens voicing their dissatisfaction with the current situation.