United Arab Emirates

Ankara proposes grand rewiring of Middle East energy export map amid Hormuz blockade

Ben Aris in Berlin April 17, 2026

Turkey wants to see a slew of Gulf and other pipelines converge on its territory to ensure the world will never again be cut off from sufficient oil and gas.

Anthropic's Mythos AI model triggers crisis meetings among top global officials

bne IntelliNews April 17, 2026

Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI model has triggered emergency meetings among finance ministers and top bankers after demonstrating an ability to find and exploit cybersecurity weaknesses across banking and IT systems.

IMF the first to improve Russia’s growth outlook on Iran war windfall

Ben Aris in Berlin April 15, 2026

The International Monetary Fund has become the first institution to raise its forecast for Russia’s economic growth in 2026 in anticipation of the windfall it is expected to earn from the effects of the Iran war related spike in energy prices.

Trump says China agreed to stop arming Iran in exchange for reopening of Strait of Hormuz

bnm Gulf bureau April 15, 2026

Trump claims China agreed to halt arms supplies to Iran in exchange for US efforts to permanently reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a Xi Jinping meeting planned in coming weeks.

World leaders head to Beijing, as China becomes geopolitical fulcrum

Ben Aris in Berlin April 15, 2026

The Trump administration’s being ostracized by the international community for America’s war mongering. That is making China a fulcrum in the East-West clash that now has its centre of gravity in the Middle East.

IMF the first to improve Russia’s growth outlook on Iran war windfall

Ben Aris in Berlin April 15, 2026

The International Monetary Fund has become the first institution to raise its forecast for Russia’s economic growth in 2026 in anticipation of the windfall it is expected to earn from the effects of the Iran war related spike in energy prices.

COMMENT: The US and Israel ostracised by the global community

Ben Aris in Berlin April 14, 2026

For most of the first year of the Trump administration, America’s so-called western allies spent most of their time flattering, toadying and attempting to manipulate the US President’s ego. That time is over.

Developing countries skip landlines and go straight to mobile phones - OWID

Hannah Ritchie for Our World in Data April 14, 2026

The concept of “leapfrogging” is popular in development. It suggests that, as they develop, lower-income countries can skip intermediate technologies or systems and go straight to the modern equivalent, Our World in Data (OWID) reports.

Kremlin flags Hormuz risk, cautious on Magyar victory in Hungarian elections

Ben Aris in Berlin April 14, 2026

The Kremlin has warned that a potential US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would deliver a direct shock to global markets, even as Moscow positions itself as both an energy anchor and a diplomatic intermediary in a rapidly widening crisis.

Quality matters: how the Hormuz crisis tests refinery flexibility

Newsbase April 13, 2026

The disruption highlights a key reality often overlooked in the oil market: while volumes may be globally fungible, crude quality is not.

COMMENT: The US naval blockade of Iran won't work

Ben Aris in Berlin April 13, 2026

The US is moving to choke Iran’s oil lifeline. The market is starting to price something much bigger because the Trump administration naval blockade of Iran is not going to work.

Iran-linked hackers claim major cyberattack on Dubai government infrastructure

bnm Tehran bureau April 12, 2026

Iran-linked hacker group Handala claims to have destroyed 6 petabytes of data and extracted 149TB of classified documents from three Dubai government bodies in what it calls a warning to Gulf states.

Trump orders naval blockage of Iran in a new shockwave for energy markets

Ben Aris in Berlin April 12, 2026

Following the collapse of ceasefire talks this weekend US President Donald Trump has ordered a full naval blockade of shipping into and out of the Persian Gulf.

US naval showdown with Iran in strait of Hormuz

Ben Aris in Berlin April 11, 2026

As talks got underway in Islamabad between Iran and the US to find a ceasefire formula, a dramatic showdown was playing out in the Strait of Hormuz, as several US Navy vessels attempted to sneak through and exit the Persian Gulf,

Naphtha shortages leading to petrochemical plants force majeures and record prices

Ben Aris in Berlin April 10, 2026

Petrochemical producers across Asia have begun shutting down operations after disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz reduced supplies of the critical naphtha and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) feedstocks.

Iran's military warns forces 'on the trigger' as Islamabad talks set to begin

bne IntelliNews April 10, 2026

Iran's central military command says forces remain "on the trigger" and vows to keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, hours before US-Iran ceasefire talks are due to begin at Islamabad's Serena Hotel.

US-Iran ceasefire eases oil prices but Gulf economies showing strain – Oxford Economics

Ben Aris in Berlin April 10, 2026

A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran has led to a sharp fall in oil prices, but fresh data points to mounting economic damage across Gulf economies and rising uncertainty in Egypt.

Shipping begins moving through Strait of Hormuz

bnm Gulf bureau April 9, 2026

Marine data shows vessels beginning to move through the Strait of Hormuz on April 9, a day after the ceasefire, but Iran is pushing ahead with toll plans regardless.

Flydubai flight first to cross Iraqi airspace after 40-day suspension

bna Cairo bureau April 9, 2026

A Flydubai aircraft became the first commercial flight to pass through Iraqi airspace after a suspension of around 40 days caused by heightened regional security tensions.

US-Europe relations strains bring Nato alliance close to breaking point

Ben Aris in Berlin April 8, 2026

The West is discussing a new defence alliance format to replace Nato that would include Ukraine. Nato's current form is ineffective, so it is worth creating a new defence structure.

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