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Missile War Monitor: Ukraine confirms Ilsky refinery strike as Kyiv's toll from Friday's drone attacks rises to seven

Ben Aris in Berlin September 26, 2026

Ukraine's General Staff confirmed a strike on Russia's Ilsky oil refinery overnight, as Kyiv's toll from Russian drone attacks on September 25 rose to seven killed and 59 injured.

EBRD cuts Ukraine's 2026 growth forecast to 1.5% as Russia hits ports

Ben Aris in Berlin September 25, 2026

The EBRD has cut its 2026 growth forecast for Ukraine to 1.5% from 2.2% in June, as stepped-up Russian attacks on businesses, energy infrastructure and Black Sea ports push the economy close to stagnation.

Ukraine's new Patriot package leaves its winter interceptor gap open

Ben Aris in Berlin September 25, 2026

Ukraine has won another package of Patriot interceptors, but Kyiv will not say from whom or how many, and the arithmetic of Russia's ballistic barrages says it will not last the winter.

Missile War Monitor: Ukrainian drones halt Russia's Novoshakhtinsk refinery as Russia sends 295 drones at Ukraine

Ben Aris in Berlin September 25, 2026

Ukrainian drones forced an oil products plant in Novoshakhtinsk, in Russia's Rostov region, to suspend work overnight, as industrial sites in Perm and Ulyanovsk were hit.

ECB to study linking euro instant payments with Brazil's Pix

IntelliNews Sao Paulo bureau September 25, 2026

The European Central Bank will examine connecting the eurozone's homegrown instant payments platform with Brazil's Pix, a move that would join two of the world's largest publicly run payment networks.

Poland says Starlink ground station fire was likely sabotage

bne IntelliNews September 25, 2026

A fire that damaged a Starlink ground station near Warsaw on September 23 was most likely an act of sabotage, Polish officials said.

Ukraine's Zelenskiy brands Putin "patient zero" at UN as Moscow rebuffs peace calls

Ben Aris in Berlin September 24, 2026

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy called Vladimir Putin the "patient zero" of war and warned Russia it will also suffer this winter if it keeps hitting Ukraine's heating and power.

Missile War Monitor: Russia hits Kyiv day and night as Moscow rebuffs ceasefire calls

Ben Aris in Berlin September 24, 2026

Russia struck Kyiv with ballistic missiles overnight, killing two people. Hours earlier, a daylong drone barrage killed two more and set the capital's Shayba railway market ablaze.

EBRD cuts growth forecast to 2.5% as Iraq oil exports slump

Ben Aris in Berlin September 24, 2026

The EBRD has cut its 2026 growth forecast for its regions to 2.5% from 3.1% as Iraq's oil export collapse, European drought and a renewed Black Sea blockade hit output.

Poland's Sikorski stocks up on rice, jam and a hand pump ahead of war with Russia

Ben Aris in Berlin September 23, 2026

Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski has laid in rice, keeps a hand pump at home and has made jam from his own garden fruit in case of war, he told the tabloid Fakt on September 22.

Missile War Monitor: Russia hits Kyiv fuel tanks, warehouses as Zelenskiy offers an energy truce

Ben Aris in Berlin September 23, 2026

Russian drones struck a warehouse and a petrol station in Kyiv overnight, the city military administration said, a day after jet-powered drones hit fuel storage tanks in the capital.

Is Russia going to war with Europe?

Ben Aris in Berlin September 21, 2026

Europe has gone from funding Ukraine's war to building its weapons, and Moscow has started saying that makes Europe a party to the fighting.

German winter power tops €180/MWh as Europe's energy crisis spreads

Ben Aris in Berlin September 21, 2026

Europe's energy crisis has moved out of the gas tanks and into pump prices, power bills and freight, with German winter power trading above €180 a megawatt-hour.

Moody’s downgrades Poland's rating

IntelliNews September 21, 2026

Rating agency lowered Poland’s long-term sovereign rating from A2 to A3 and changed the outlook from negative to stable, citing a sustained weakening of public finances.

VISEGRAD BLOG: Carpathian Eight adds to Central Europe's increasingly crowded network of alliances

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow September 19, 2026

Ukraine has launched a new regional grouping bringing together eight countries around the Carpathian region, seeking to turn wartime trade links and security cooperation into a longer-term framework.

Slovakia’s Fico says he does not want war over “some Article 5”

Ben Aris in Berlin September 18, 2026

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico said he did not want his country drawn into a war “because of some Article 5”, questioning Nato’s mutual defence clause, STVR reported on September 18.

Poland’s Tusk warns Russia could escalate hybrid strikes against Nato

Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw September 18, 2026

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that Russia was about to step up hybrid attacks against Ukraine's supporters with ostensibly accidental drone or missile strikes.

EU eastern border regions struggle with war disruption, labour shortages and security costs

IntelliNews September 17, 2026

EU regions bordering Russia, Belarus and Ukraine are facing a combination of security threats, disrupted trade, falling investment, labour shortages and population decline that has compounded longstanding economic weaknesses.

Zelenskiy’s former press secretary barred from European Parliament speech days after the president sanctions her

Ben Aris in Berlin September 17, 2026

Iuliia Mendel, the former press secretary to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, was barred from entering the European Parliament on September 16, preventing her from delivering a speech calling for ending the war in Ukraine.

The speech that never happened: Mendel says Ukraine risks “Afghanistan path” if war continues

Ben Aris in Berlin September 16, 2026

The speech Iuliia Mendel was supposed to deliver at the European Parliament on September 16 was less a peace plan than an indictment of the assumptions underpinning Ukraine’s current war strategy.

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