Watchdog group pushes for fresh impact study on Tajikistan megaproject

Watchdog group pushes for fresh impact study on Tajikistan megaproject
Plans for the dam date back to the Soviet era. If built to envisioned specifications, Rogun would be the tallest dam in the world. / Presidency of Tajikistan
By Eurasianet January 25, 2024

A watchdog coalition is alleging that international lenders are indifferent to Tajik government efforts aimed at stifling public debate over the environmental impact of the massive Rogun Dam project.

In an open letter sent to top World Bank (WB) representatives, the watchdog coalition calls on the WB-led Rogun Coordination Group of international finance organisations to “show greater openness” in enforcing policies aimed at ensuring adequate stakeholder participation in infrastructure project development. Tajik officials, the letter states, have engaged in “unequivocal attempts to limit region-wide stakeholder engagement” concerning Rogun’s environmental and social impact, not just on Tajikistan, but all of Central Asia. 

International lenders, including the World Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) have already supplied a combined $15mn in funding for Rogun-related feasibility studies and other planning activities. The WB, AIIB and the European Investment Bank (EIB) have also pledged at least $200mn each toward the eventual construction of the dam, which has an estimated $6-bn price tag. Plans for the dam date back to the Soviet era; construction has proceeded spasmodically since the 1990s due to continuing financing uncertainty. If built to its envisioned specifications, Rogun would be the tallest dam in the world.

The watchdog coalition, which includes the regional non-governmental organisation Rivers without Boundaries and the CEE Bankwatch Network, contends that an environmental and social impact assessment, based on World Bank-sponsored consultations conducted a decade or longer ago, are outdated. New assessments are needed to factor in rapid changes in Central Asia fuelled by global warming, especially the rapid depletion of water supplies and the “rapid degradation of ecosystems” in the Amu Darya River basin.

“The reality is that since 2014, we have learned much more about the dynamics of climate change and efficient renewable energy sources,” states the coalition letter, dated January 18. “The potentially vast scale of trans-boundary impacts resulting from the development of the Rogun HPP project deserves the same scale of public discussions that was held in 2014.”

Stakeholder input concerning Rogun’s potential impact should not be limited to Tajikistan, but also include the participation of experts from other Central Asian states, according to the letter. 

This article first appeared on Eurasianet here.

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