Turkey’s foreign trade deficit rose more than expected 15.3% y/y to $8.3bn in November as exports plunged and gold imports surged, data of the statistics office TUIK showed on December 31. The markets had expected a foreign trade deficit of $7.8bn. The 15.3% rise in deficit is the biggest y/y recorded this year.
Exports fell 7.5% y/y to $13.1bn in November, due to sluggish recovery in the European economy. Exports to the EU dropped 8.3% y/y to $5.7bn. The EU’s share in Turkey’s total exported was down to 43.7% from 44.1% a year ago. Sales of goods to Germany were down 7.8% y/y while exports to Iraq, the UK and Russia fell 22.3% y/y, 5.3% y/y, and 23% y/y, respectively. Exports to the Middle East (23.7% share in total) dropped 4.2% y/y in November. On a seasonally & calendar adjusted basis, exports fell 3.3% m/m.
Imports rose 0.2% y/y to $21.45bn in November. The 106.3% y/y increase in precious metals (mostly gold) to $2.1bn is especially striking while gold exports rose 33.9% y/y to $626mn. Consumer goods imports were down 13.5% y/y but intermediate goods imports showed a 4.1% y/y increase while capital goods imports fell 5.1% y/y. According to data of TUIK, Turkey paid $4.5bn for energy imports, representing a 6.3% y/y decline. In the first ten moths of the year, the country’s energy bill fell 0.3% y/y to $50.5bn. On a seasonally & calendar adjusted basis, imports rose 10% m/m in November after increasing 0.8% m/m in October.
Turkey’s foreign trade deficit narrowed 15.5% y/y to $75.97bn in January-November. Exports rose 4.2% y/y to $144.5bn while imports fell 3.5% y/y to $220.5bn.
The government foresees a foreign deficit of $83.5bn for 2014, down from $99.86bn last year.
| Turkey's Foreign Trade | ||||||
| Exports | y/y | Imports | y/y | Deficit | y/y | |
| (USD bn) | (%) | (USD bn) | (%) | (USD bn) | (%) | |
| 2007 | 107.3 | 25.4 | 170.1 | 21.8 | -62.8 | 16.2 |
| 2008 | 132.0 | 23.1 | 202.0 | 18.8 | -69.9 | 11.4 |
| 2009 | 102.1 | -22.6 | 140.9 | -30.2 | -38.8 | -44.5 |
| 2010 | 113.9 | 11.5 | 185.5 | 31.7 | -71.7 | 84.8 |
| 2011 | 134.9 | 18.5 | 240.8 | 29.8 | -105.9 | 47.8 |
| 2012 | 152.5 | 13.0 | 236.5 | -1.8 | -84.1 | -20.6 |
| 2013 | 151.9 | -0.4 | 251.7 | 6.4 | -99.8 | 18.7 |
| Jan-14 | 12.5 | 8.6 | 19.3 | 2.6 | -6.8 | -6.8 |
| Jan-Jul | 93.5 | 6.1 | 139.6 | -6.2 | -46.1 | -24.0 |
| Jan-Aug | 104.9 | 5.7 | 159.1 | -4.7 | -54.2 | -20.0 |
| Jan-Sep | 118.5 | 5.5 | 179.7 | -4.2 | -61.1 | -18.8 |
| Jan-Oct | 131.4 | 5.6 | 199.0 | -3.9 | -67.6 | -18.2 |
| Jan-Nov | 144.5 | 4.2 | 220.5 | -3.5 | -76.0 | -15.5 |
| Source: tuik | ||||||
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