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ALACO DISPATCHES: Why Russia’s elections may derail Putin’s biggest critic

Question: Are Sobchak and Navalny the only opposing Putin in the election? And how large is the popular support for these candidates (estimated)?

Answers: Thank you for your question. Up to now Alexei Navalny and Xenia Sobchak are the only ones to announce the intention to run for president in 2018. Their poll numbers are negligible at 1-2% and they both are still to comply with the red tape required to register a candidate. Navalny also has a criminal conviction in the Kirovles corruption case that might deter him from the race.  On November 20 Interfax reported that veteran ultranationalist politician Vladimir Zhirinovsky of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) will be running for president for the sixth time. The leader of the Communist Party of Russia (KPRF) Gennady Zyuganov was also planning to run, according to unconfirmed reports. Their poll numbers are at about 3%. It must be noted that Vladimir Putin, whose approval ratings have been record-high at over 80%, has yet to announce that he will be running for president in 2018, whether as a candidate of the ruling United Russia party, as an independent candidate, or in some other quality. In the highly likely outcome of Vladimir Putin running for president, the greatest other threat to his re-election is perhaps public apathy or indecisiveness, with recent polls showing that over 40% of Russian don’t know who to vote for, or whether they would vote at all. Best, bne IntelliNews team

Show Full Answer   More from Ask the Analyst

Turkey moves towards extending 21-month-old state of emergency

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Fresh protests break out against Albania's first toll road

April 5, 2018

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Russia bringing forward delivery to Turkey of S-400 missile system by six months says Ankara official

April 5, 2018

The scheduled delivery of Russian S-400 surface-to-air missile batteries to Turkey has been brought forward to July 2019 from the first quarter of 2020, the Turkish undersecretary for defence ...

Serbian government takes over Nis airport

April 4, 2018

The ownership of Konstantin Veliki Airport in Nis has been transferred from the local government to the central government. This was a development decision motivated by the fact that the airport ...

Bulgarian government gives up plan to join CEZ asset sale deal

April 3, 2018

Bulgaria’s government does not intend to participate in the deal to sell assets of Czech energy company CEZ, Finance Minister ...

Oberbank line of credit deal with Iran not scrapped but delayed says Austrian ambassador

April 2, 2018

Austria’s ambassador to Tehran, Stefan Scholz, has rejected claims by some media outlets that Austrian lender Oberbank has cancelled a €1bn credit line to Tehran, Islamic Republic News Agency ...

Dutch architect releases masterplan for Tehran’s Imam Khomeini Airport City

April 2, 2018

The Netherlands Airport Consultants (NACO) has released its latest designs for Tehran’s Imam Khomeini Airport City (IKAC) as part of a plan to turn the remote outpost into an air-and-land free ...

Macedonia’s main opposition party plans no-confidence motion against the government

April 2, 2018

Macedonia’s main opposition VMRO-DPMNE party, which is currently boycotting the work of the parliament, plans to file a no-confidence motion against the Social Democrat-led government when it ...

Kazakhstan mulls ban on cryptocurrencies

April 2, 2018

Kazakhstan’s central bank is considering a ban on cryptocurrency use, exchanges, and mining, Daniyar Akishev, the chairman of Kazakhstan’s National Bank, told ...

Ex-president of Kyrgyzstan Atambayev returns to politics offering successor "help"

April 2, 2018

Ex-president of Kyrgyzstan Almazbek Atambayev on March 31 had his leadership of the Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan (SDPK) reinstated for the first time since 2011, when he suspended his time ...

Romania’s power grid operator Transelectrica reports loss in 2017

April 2, 2018

Romania’s power grid operator Transelectrica reported RON48mn (€10.3mn) losses for 2017, the company ...

UN envoy says difficult issues remain to be solved in Macedonia-Greece name dispute

March 31, 2018

UN envoy Matthew Nimetz said that progress has been made in the negotiations between the foreign ministers of Macedonia and Greece aimed at solving the long-standing name dispute, but still there are ...

Romanian rail freight company CFR Marfa faces insolvency

March 30, 2018

Romanian rail freight company CFR Marfa is not able to pay the wages of its 7,500 employees before the Easter holiday after the railway infrastructure operator CFR blocked its accounts over unpaid ...

Bulgarian opposition demands resignations after travellers stroll through abandoned passport control at Sofia airport

March 30, 2018

Bulgaria’s main opposition Socialist Party (BSP) is demanding the dismissal of Interior Minister ...

Erdogan files suit after Turkey’s Republican party leader describes him as ‘top Gulenist’

March 29, 2018

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on March 29 filed a lawsuit against the leader of Turkey’s main opposition party claiming he had made “baseless” comments linking him to the self-exiled ...

Croatia greenlights €1.8bn debt restructuring of road management companies

March 29, 2018

The Croatian government decided on March 29 to offer state guarantees for loans worth €1.8bn that road management firms will take out to refinance their debt, and announced further financial ...

Turkey’s lira and cost of insuring sovereign debt hit again by economic and geopolitical nerves

March 28, 2018

The Turkish lira (TRY) on March 28 weakened beyond the psychologically important level of 4.0 to the dollar while the cost of insuring exposure to Turkish sovereign debt moved up to the highest level ...

Romania’s parliament summons central bank governor over inflation

March 28, 2018

Members of the senate’s expert committee for economy have invited central bank officials to discuss the dynamics of inflation and the impact on the economy on March 29, reported. ...

Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia enjoying Persian new year influx of Iranians

March 27, 2018

Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia are enjoying a welcome injection of revenues from the annual influx of Iranians enjoying their long Nowruz Persian new year holiday. Anecdotal evidence indicates ...

30 people indicted over Macedonia’s 2017 parliament violence

March 27, 2018

Macedonia’s Public Prosecution Office said on March 27 it has filed indictments against 30 people for their involvement in the parliament violence last April, when around 100 people were injured ...