Whether or not the detention of opposition leader Nikol Pashinian proves enough to lop the head off the Armenian demonstrations, analysts will note yet another example of how ready people are across Emerging Europe to take to the streets.
Victory marred by Freedom House report saying country’s authoritarianism is "more deeply entrenched than ever" but observers sense Baku no longer cares about such outside criticism.
With President Aliyev all but certain to on April 11 win a landslide re-election, watchdog issues findings on methods it says are used by Baku to keep the lid on dissent.
Political developments in sworn enemies Armenia and Azerbaijan will mirror each other this April as their veteran leaders maintain their grip on power.
It is plausible to think hydrocarbon resources might be opened up by a border deal between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan but the Iranians would have plenty to say about that.