Consumer prices rose 1.13% m/m in March, the statistics institute TUIK announced on Thursday. This is well above the market consensus forecast of 0.85% m/m. CPI inflation was 0.43% m/m in February.
Annual inflation, consequently, quickened to 8.39% in March from 7.89% in February. Food prices were up 2.1% m/m (10.12% y/y) in the month, adding 0.51 points to the headline inflation. Food inflation was 0.13% m/m in February. Clothing prices rose 2.49% m/m, adding another 0.18ppt to the headline inflation. Transportation costs increased 0.88% m/m in the month, leading to an annual inflation of 13.74% for this item. Automobile prices rose 4.47% m/m, data of TUIK also showed.
All major core inflation indexes showed noticeable increases in March. One of the Central Bank’s favourite core inflation indicators, the so-called I-Index (which excluded the prices of energy, food and non-alcoholic beverages, alcoholic beverages and tobacco products and gold) rose 1.2% m/m (9.32 y/y).
TUIK data also showed that the rate of increase in domestic producer prices eased to 0.74% m/m in March from 1.38% m/m in February. The annual inflation in producer prices decelerated to 12.31% from 12.4%.
On the back of March data, the annual inflation remained above the government’s 2014 target of 5%. The Central Bank already said it did not expect any decline in inflation until June, underlining upward risks on the inflation outlook, and lagged impact of the exchange pass-through on core inflation.
March CPI by Main Expenditure Groups (%) | |||
Weights | m/m | y/y | |
Headline | 100 | 1.13 | 8.39 |
Food and non-alcoholic beverages | 24.45 | 2.10 | 10.12 |
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco | 5.29 | -0.02 | 3.10 |
Clothing and footwear | 7.17 | 2.49 | 7.30 |
Housing, utilities | 16.41 | 0.23 | 4.84 |
Furnishings, household equipment | 7.52 | 0.90 | 7.64 |
Health | 2.44 | 0.85 | 7.02 |
Transportation | 15.54 | 0.88 | 13.74 |
Communications | 4.70 | 0.27 | 0.88 |
Recreation and culture | 3.36 | 0.68 | 7.97 |
Education | 2.26 | 0.19 | 9.98 |
Hotels, cafes and restaurants | 6.58 | 1.33 | 12.51 |
Miscellaneous goods and services | 4.28 | 1.20 | 5.27 |
Source: tuik |
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