Turkish March inflation comes in at 1.13% m/m, above expectations.

By bne IntelliNews April 3, 2014

Consumer prices rose 1.13% m/m in March, the statistics institute TUIK announced on Thursday. This is well above the market consensus forecast of 0.85% m/m. CPI inflation was 0.43% m/m in February.

Annual inflation, consequently, quickened to 8.39% in March from 7.89% in February. Food prices were up 2.1% m/m (10.12% y/y) in the month, adding 0.51 points to the headline inflation. Food inflation was 0.13% m/m in February. Clothing prices rose 2.49% m/m, adding another 0.18ppt to the headline inflation. Transportation costs increased 0.88% m/m in the month, leading to an annual inflation of 13.74% for this item. Automobile prices rose 4.47% m/m, data of TUIK also showed.

All major core inflation indexes showed noticeable increases in March. One of the Central Bank’s favourite core inflation indicators, the so-called I-Index (which excluded the prices of energy, food and non-alcoholic beverages, alcoholic beverages and tobacco products and gold) rose 1.2% m/m (9.32 y/y).

TUIK data also showed that the rate of increase in domestic producer prices eased to 0.74% m/m in March from 1.38% m/m in February. The annual inflation in producer prices decelerated to 12.31% from 12.4%.

On the back of March data, the annual inflation remained above the government’s 2014 target of 5%. The Central Bank already said it did not expect any decline in inflation until June, underlining upward risks on the inflation outlook, and lagged impact of the exchange pass-through on core inflation.

March CPI by Main Expenditure Groups (%)
  Weights m/m y/y
Headline 100 1.13 8.39
Food and non-alcoholic beverages 24.45 2.10 10.12
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 5.29 -0.02 3.10
Clothing and footwear 7.17 2.49 7.30
Housing, utilities 16.41 0.23 4.84
Furnishings, household equipment 7.52 0.90 7.64
Health 2.44 0.85 7.02
Transportation 15.54 0.88 13.74
Communications 4.70 0.27 0.88
Recreation and culture 3.36 0.68 7.97
Education 2.26 0.19 9.98
Hotels, cafes and restaurants 6.58 1.33 12.51
Miscellaneous goods and services 4.28 1.20 5.27
Source: tuik      

Related Articles

Turkey ups steel exports 28% in 2024 driven by EU shipments, US takes just small percentage

Turkey upped its steel exports by 27.6% y/y in 2024 to 13.4mn tonnes, according to the Turkish Steel Association (TCUD). Growth was driven by shipments to the European Union (5.9mn tonnes, up ... more

TPAO arm contracts Subsea7 for Sakarya gas field work offshore Turkey

Turkish Petroleum Offshore Technology Centre AS (TP-OTC) has contracted international offshore service provider Subsea7 to provide inspection, repair and maintenance (IRM) services at the Sakarya ... more

Turkish firm Bonysocks earmarks $50mn to build Egyptian factory

Turkish socks manufacturing company Bonysocks plans to invest $50mn to build a new factory in Egypt, Al Ahram reported on January 12 citing the Turkish Ambassador in Cairo, Salih Mutlu Şen.  ... ... more

Dismiss