Future monetary policy decisions will be conditional on the improvements in the inflation outlook, said the Central Bank on February 25 in a presentation on its website, reiterating that cautious monetary policy stance will be maintained, by keeping a flat yield curve, until there is a significant improvement in the inflation outlook.
A more persistent reduction in inflation necessitates a cautious approach in monetary policy, said the Bank, noting that taking into account the elevated volatility in food and energy prices, its Monetary Policy Committee this week decided to cut the interest rates at a measured scale.
The on-going cautious monetary policy along with prudent fiscal and macroprudential policies are having a favourable impact on core inflation indicators, the Bank suggested. The Bank warned that while the lower level of commodity prices still supports the decline in inflation, elevated volatility in food and energy prices can affect headline inflation adversely.
On February 24, the Bank trimmed the main one-week repo rate for the second straight month in a row, also reduced other rates. It lowered the one-week repo by 25bp to 7.50%, cut its overnight lending rate from 11.25% to 10.75% and overnight borrowing rate from 7.50% to 7.25%.
Leading indicators point to a moderate economic growth, said the Bank in the presentation, stressing that export growth is constrained by geopolitical developments and weak external demand.
Current account balance has improved steadily since 2011and a further significant improvement is expected in 2015, according to the Bank.
Finally, the Bank stated that consumer loans grow at a slower pace than commercial loans contributing to rebalancing process and financial stability.
Policy Rate (%) | |
Date | one-week repo |
May-2010 | 7.00 |
Dec-2010 | 6.50 |
Jan-2011 | 6.25 |
Aug-2011 | 5.75 |
Dec-2012 | 5.50 |
Apr-2013 | 5.00 |
May-2013 | 4.50 |
Jan-2014 | 10.00 |
May-2014 | 9.50 |
Jun-14 | 8.75 |
Jul-14 | 8.25 |
Jan-15 | 7.75 |
Feb-15 | 7.50 |
Source: Central Bank |
The 18-month suspension of oil exports from Iraqi Kurdistan has cost the state more than $28bn in lost revenue, a senior Kurdish official has said, as the fiscal damage is compounded by security ... more
Turkish group Şahinler Holding is expanding its operations in Egypt with new investments exceeding $100mn across the ready-made garments and tourism sectors, Al Sharq Business reported on August 27, ... more
A new government-backed initiative called “Cumhur Reyonu” (“People’s Aisle”) will be rolled out across Turkey’s major supermarket chains, which collectively operate over 55,000 branches ... more