Consumer prices rose 1.34% m/m in April versus the market consensus forecast of 0.88% m/m. Annual inflation, consequently, accelerated to 9.38% in April from 8.39% in the previous month. April’s annual CPI inflation figure is the highest since April 2012 when inflation rate stood at 11.14% y/y.
Food prices rose 1.42% (annual rise: 13.15%) in April, adding 0.32 percentage points to the headline inflation, data of the statistics institute TUIK showed on Monday. Alcoholic beverages & tobacco prices increased only 0.02% m/m but the rise in clothing prices was 13.10% m/m adding another 0.86 percentage points to the April inflation. Communication prices increased 0.13% m/m while transportation costs fell 0.54% m/m in the month.
Core inflation, measured by one of the Central Bank’s favourite I-index, showed a 2.12% m/m increase, after rising 1.2% m/m in March. The annual increase in the I-index quickened to 9.74% in April from 9.32% in the previous month. The I-index excludes the prices of energy, food and non-alcoholic beverages, alcoholic beverages and tobacco products and gold.
Domestic producer prices that increased 0.74 in March rose 0.09% m/m in April, TUIK also said. Annual domestic producer price inflation accelerated to 12.98% from 12.31% in March.
The Central Bank, that raised its 2014 inflation forecast to 7.6% from a previous 6.6%, expects inflation to peak in May. The Bank’s official inflation target for 2014 is 5%.
March CPI by Main Expenditure Groups (%) | |||
Weights | m/m | y/y | |
Headline | 100 | 1,34 | 9,38 |
Food and non-alcoholic beverages | 24,45 | 1,42 | 13,15 |
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco | 5,29 | 0,02 | 3,13 |
Clothing and footwear | 7,17 | 13,10 | 7,63 |
Housing, utilities | 16,41 | 0,24 | 4,92 |
Furnishings, household equipment | 7,52 | 1,57 | 8,84 |
Health | 2,44 | 0,93 | 7,66 |
Transportation | 15,54 | -0,54 | 13,84 |
Communications | 4,70 | 0,13 | 0,86 |
Recreation and culture | 3,36 | 0,09 | 7,31 |
Education | 2,26 | 0,97 | 10,37 |
Hotels, cafes and restaurants | 6,58 | 0,76 | 12,48 |
Miscellaneous goods and services | 4,28 | -0,10 | 6,11 |
Source: tuik |
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