Turkey’s June current account deficit declined by 19.5% y/y to $3.36bn, slightly higher than the market consensus forecast of $3bn, data of the central bank showed on August 11.
Foreign trade deficit was down by 23% y/y, declining to $4.8bn in the month. Imports fell by 12% y/y, but more worryingly exports exhibited a 7% y/y decline.
Net FDI inflows stood at $554mn in June, down from $861mn a year ago and $944mn in May 2015. Net FDI financed 17% of June’s current account deficit.
The central bank reported a net portfolio investment outflow of $661mn in June, after a $2.5bn of outflow in the previous months. Non-residents’ purchases of Turkish equities stood at a tiny $1mn, down from $74mn in May, while government domestic debt securities indicated a net sale of $452mn.
The bank also said there was outflow of $1.44bn under the “net error & omissions” item in June vs an inflow of $2bn in the previous month
Banks borrowed $119 million on net basis in June and $1.98bn in January-June through bond issues in international capital markets, said the central bank. The unexplained inflows amounted to $8.6bn in the first six months of the year, well above the $5.8bn of inflows registered a year ago.
Turkey’s current account deficit declined by 7% y/y to $22.7bn in H1 as foreign trade deficit narrowed by 15% y/y to $24.9bn. The 12-month rolling current account deficit declined to $44.7bn in June from $45.5bn in May. A recent Reuters poll of economists showed that the current account deficit is expected to be $35.8bn at the end of 2015.
Turkey's Balance of Payments (H1) | |||
($ mn) | 2014 | 2015 | y/y |
CURRENT ACCOUNT | (24,545) | (22,705) | -7% |
Goods, Services and Primary Income | (25,024) | (23,118) | -8% |
Goods and Services | (20,307) | (17,116) | -16% |
foreign trade balance | (29,392) | (24,944) | -15% |
exports | 85,541 | 77,735 | -9% |
imports | 114,933 | 102,679 | -11% |
CAPITAL ACCOUNT | (24) | (2) | -92% |
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT | (18,752) | (14,088) | -25% |
Net FDI | (4,702) | (4,170) | -11% |
Net acquisition of financial assets | 2,297 | 2,157 | -6% |
Net incurrence of liabilities | 6,999 | 6,327 | -10% |
Net Portfolio Investment | (10,253) | 4,010 | - |
Net acquisition of financial assets | 1,210 | 2,615 | 116% |
Net incurrence of liabilities | 11,463 | (1,395) | - |
NET ERRORS AND OMISSIONS | 5,817 | 8,619 | 48% |
Source: tcmb |
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