The central government budget produced a surplus of TRY 6.4bn (EUR 2.2bn) in November. That is an 18.5% y/y increase in the surplus.
In October, the budget had posted a deficit of TRY 3.2bn.
The central government budget also produced a primary surplus of TRY 8.2bn in November after a TRY 760mn of primary deficit a month ago. The primary surplus fell 7.9% y/y in the month.
Budget expenditures rose 9.1% y/y, data of the finance ministry showed on Monday. Non-interest expenditures increased by 17.4% y/y but interest expenditures fell 49.3% y/y.
Revenues were up 10.7% y/y in November. Tax revenues rose 12.2% y/y. VAT revenues and special consumption tax revenues rose 18% y/y and 16.2% y/y while import tax collection increased 21.2% y/y, all underlining a strong domestic demand. Especially the more than 20% increase in import tax collection should a warning sign for authorities because of the country’s large current account deficit.
In the first eleven months of the year, the central government budget posted a deficit of TRY 1.2bn versus a TRY 13.3bn budget shortfall a year ago. The primary surplus rose by a strong 40.1% y/y to TRY 46.8bn.
The 2014 budget targets a budget deficit of TRY 33.3bn (1.9% of GDP) and a primary surplus of TRY 18.7bn (1.1% of GDP). The government estimates the 2013 budget deficit and primary surplus at TRY 19.4bn (1.2% of GDP) and TRY 31.1bn (2% of GDP), respectively.
November | Jan-Nov | 2012 | 2013 | ||||
(TRY bn) | 2013 | y/y | 2013 | y/y | Realization | Budget | y/y |
Revenues | 36.9 | 10.7% | 357.0 | 17.3% | 332.5 | 370.1 | 11.3% |
Tax Revenues | 33.1 | 12.2% | 299.4 | 17.1% | 278.8 | 317.9 | 14.0% |
VAT Revenues | 3.0 | 18.0% | 35.6 | 19.7% | 31.6 | 36.4 | 15.3% |
SCT Revenues | 7.7 | 16.2% | 77.9 | 20.5% | 71.7 | 83.1 | 15.9% |
Import Tax Revenues | 5.9 | 21.2% | 56.5 | 26.6% | 50.0 | 61.2 | 22.4% |
Expenditures | 30.5 | 9.1% | 358.2 | 12.7% | 361.9 | 404.0 | 11.6% |
Interest Expenses | 1.8 | -49.3% | 48.0 | 2.7% | 48.4 | 53.0 | 9.5% |
Budget Balance | 6.4 | 18.5% | -1.2 | 90.7% | -29.4 | -34.0 | 15.4% |
Primary Balance | 8.2 | -7.9% | 46.8 | 40.1% | 19.0 | 19.0 | 0.2% |
Source: ministry of finance |
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