Slovak annual headline inflation stays at 1.7% in May 2013

By bne IntelliNews June 13, 2013

Slovakia’s annual headline inflation stayed flat in May at 1.7%, its lowest level since end-2010, data from the statistics office showed. The monthly inflation edged up to 0.1% in May from 0.0% in April. Food prices, which have a strong weight in the consumer basket, grew 0.7% m/m, following a 0.5% monthly rise in April. On an annual basis, food prices increased 4.4% last month, speeding from a 4.1% growth in April.

The May annual core inflation also remained unchanged from April at 1.8%.

For the first five months of 2013, consumer prices increased, on average, by 2% y/y.

IntelliNews comment: Slovak headline consumer price inflation slowed down from 1.6% in 2009 to an all-time-low of 1% in 2010 due to subdued demand during the economic crisis. With the revival of the economy at the beginning of 2011, inflation started to gain ground, driven up also by higher value-added tax and excise duties and by rising oil and food prices. The average annual inflation surged to 3.9% in 2011 and eased slightly to 3.6% in 2012.

The decline in inflation in the first five months of 2013 is in line with our expectations and reflects subdued demand and cautious consumer spending in line with the economic slowdown. In view of the projected significant deceleration of Slovak economic growth (to less than 1% in 2013 from 2% in 2012) and no prospects of major price pressures, inflation is expected to remain subdued this year.

  May-13, m/m change Apr-13, m/m change May-13, y/y change Apr-13, y/y change Jan-May-13, y/y change
Consumer prices, total 0.1% 0.0% 1.7% 1.7% 2.0%
Food and non-alcoholic beverages 0.7% 0.5% 4.4% 4.1% 4.7%
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 0.1% 0.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8%
Clothing and footwear 0.5% 1.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2%
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 0.0% -0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Furnishings, household equipment and routine 0.0% -0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
Health 0.1% -0.2% 1.6% 1.6% 3.3%
Transport -0.4% -0.4% -1.6% -1.7% -0.7%
Post and telecoms -0.5% 0.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1%
Recreation and culture 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
Education 0.0% 0.3% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7%
Hotels, cafes and restaurants 0.1% 0.2% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8%
Miscellaneous goods and services -0.3% 0.4% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5%
Source: Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic          

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