Slovak annual headline inflation slows further to 1.3% in August 2013

By bne IntelliNews September 12, 2013

Slovakia’s annual headline inflation eased for the tenth consecutive month in August 2013, reaching 1.3%, a level not seen since December 2010, data from the statistics office showed. July’s inflation stood at 1.5%. On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.2% last month following a 0.1% decline in July.

Food prices, which have a strong weight in the consumer basket, fell 1.1% m/m following a 0.6% monthly decline in July. The annual growth in food prices fell to 3.8% last month from 4.3% in July.

August’s annual core inflation eased to 1.4% from 1.6% in July.

For the first eight months of 2013, consumer prices increased by 1.8% y/y on average.

IntelliNews comment: Slovak average annual headline consumer price inflation slowed down from 1.6% in 2009 to an all-time-low of 1% in 2010 due to subdued demand during the economic crisis. With the revival of the economy in the beginning of 2011, inflation started gaining ground, driven up also by higher value-added tax and excise duties and by rising oil and food prices. The average annual inflation thus surged to 3.9% in 2011 and eased slightly to 3.6% in 2012.

The recent decline in inflation is in line with our expectations and reflects subdued demand, moderate salary growth and cautious consumer spending amid rising unemployment. In view of the projected significant deceleration of Slovak economic growth (to less than 1% in 2013 from 2% in 2012), a good grain harvest and no prospects of major price pressures, inflation is expected to remain subdued this year.

  Aug-13, m/m change July-13, m/m change Aug-13, y/y change July-13, y/y change Jan-Aug-13, y/y change
Consumer prices, total -0.2% -0.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8%
Food and non-alcoholic beverages -1.1% -0.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.5%
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 0.7% 0.2% 3.8% 3.1% 3.1%
Clothing and footwear -0.7% -0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1%
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
Furnishings, household equipment and routine -0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4%
Health 0.2% 0.1% 0.9% 1.7% 2.7%
Transport 0.3% 0.3% -1.1% -0.2% -0.7%
Post and telecoms -0.7% 0.0% -1.0% 0.6% 0.7%
Recreation and culture -0.4% 0.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1%
Education 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8%
Hotels, cafes and restaurants 0.1% 0.2% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7%
Miscellaneous goods and services 0.5% -0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.1%
Source: Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic          

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