A further slowdown in food costs growth cut Kenya’s headline annual inflation to a six-month low of 5.84% in August from 6.62% in July, data from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) showed. Thus, it remained within the government's medium-term target of 5% plus/minus 2.5pp for the 12th month in a row after a temporary breach last summer.
The prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages, which are the main inflation driver with a 36.04% weight in the CPI basket, rose 9.9% y/y, decelerating from a 12.1% y/y growth in July.
On the other hand, the prices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels, which are the second biggest heavyweight with an 18.3% share in the basket, grew 2.7% y/y, speeding from a 2.2% y/y growth in July.
Transport costs, which have the third largest weight of 8.66%, fell 1.8% y/y, softening from a 2.5% y/y drop in July.
Kenya’s monthly headline inflation rate quickened to 0.21% in August from 0.07% the month before, as food prices eased 0.256% (-0.6% in July), the cost of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels grew 0.76% (+0.76% in July), and transport costs rose 1.42% (+0.93% in July).
On August 5, Kenya’s central bank maintained the benchmark interest rate at 11.5% after hiking it by a total of 300bp in June and July amid heightened inflationary pressures due to a sharp depreciation of its shilling currency and rising fuel prices.
y/y inflation rate | Aug-15 | Jul-15 | Aug-14 | weight |
All items | 5.84% | 6.62% | 8.36% | 100 |
Food and non-alcoholic beverages | 9.93% | 12.14% | 10.85% | 36.04 |
Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics | 3.25% | 3.12% | 4.44% | 2.06 |
Clothing and footwear | 4.76% | 4.91% | 4.95% | 7.43 |
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels | 2.66% | 2.21% | 6.98% | 18.3 |
Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance | 4.10% | 4.08% | 5.44% | 6.16 |
Health | 4.96% | 5.00% | 6.37% | 3.13 |
Transport | -1.79% | -2.46% | 11.68% | 8.66 |
Communication | 1.20% | 1.19% | 0.67% | 3.82 |
Recreation and culture | 3.01% | 3.36% | 12.73% | 2.25 |
Education | 3.94% | 3.86% | 5.44% | 3.14 |
Restaurant and hotels | 5.03% | 5.30% | 6.86% | 4.48 |
Miscellaneous goods and services | 5.08% | 5.26% | 4.45% | 4.52 |
Source: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics |
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