Estonian CPI starts 2017 with strong rise

Estonian CPI starts 2017 with strong rise
By bne IntelliNews February 7, 2017

Estonia's consumer price index (CPI) grew 2.7% in annual terms in January, data from Statistics Estonia showed on February 7.

The reading shows price growth in the first month of 2017 was at its highest since August 2013. As in many other economies in the region, the gain is being driven by fast-expanding prices of motor fuel and food.
January saw CPI in positive territory for a sixth consecutive month, after deflation dominated between May 2015 and July 2016. In monthly terms, consumer prices gained 0.4%, largely due to growing prices of food as well as in the housing sector. 

The annual increase in January was primarily driven by rising prices of motor fuels, Statistics Estonia notes. Prices in transport rose 5% y/y overall, while within the segment, petrol prices increased 19.4% y/y and diesel fuel became 26.1% more expensive. Food prices grew 3.7% overall.

Estonian CPI finished last year at just 0.1%, below predictions of 0.5% from the International Monetary Fund or the 0.8% forecast by the European Commission.

In line with forecasts that global inflation will return with a bang in 2017, Estonian's are likely to see a serious acceleration in prices this year. The pace is set to be even higher in Estonia than the average for the Eurozone, suggests Eesti Pank, primarily because of rises in excise duties. The central bank plots average inflation for 2017 at 2.8%.