Kosovo's consumer price inflation slowed down to 0.2% y/y in September from 1.2% in August, on falling transport, food and utilities charges, the statistics office reported. Compared to a month earlier, the CPI fell by 0.2% following a 0.1% m/m decline in August and a 0.4% m/m drop in July.
Prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages decreased on an annual basis for a first time since July 2012. They declined by 0.7% y/y, thus weighting down the CPI by 0.26pps. In monthly terms, the drop was slightly bigger (-1%). Transport-related goods and services cost dropped 3.3%y/y, pushing the overall inflation index down by 0.53pps. The housing and utilities prices were 1.7% lower in September 2013 compared to a year earlier (0.12pps negative contribution to the overall CPI).
Kosovo's core inflation is expected to remain at around 2% in 2013, the IMF said in an Article IV report in June. Headline inflation is projected at 2.4%. The EBRD expects the annual average inflation in Kosovo to slow down to 2.5% in 2013 from 3.3% in 2012.
Weight in CPI basket | Jul-13 | Aug-13 | Sep-13 | |
TOTAL | 100% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Food and non-alcoholic beverages | 37.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | -0.7% |
Alcoholic beverages, tobacco | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
Clothing and footwear | 7.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% |
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels | 7.1% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -1.7% |
Furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house | 10.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
Health | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Transport | 13.4% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
Communication | 3.4% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.3% |
Recreation and culture | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Education | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Restaurants and hotels | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
Miscellaneous goods and services | 3.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
Source: statistics office |
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