Bosnia’s current account deficit shrank 42.2% y/y to BAM 1,123mn (EUR 574mn) in January-September 2013, thanks to falling foreign trade gap and higher investment income from abroad, central bank data showed. The nine-month current account gap equalled to 4.3% of the full-year GDP forecast, down from 7.6% a year earlier, according to IntelliNews calculations.
The January-September foreign trade deficit improved to 21.4% of GDP (BAM 5.6bn) from 24.7% of GDP (BAM 6.3bn) a year ago as exports increased while imports declined over the period. Sales abroad rose markedly by 9.0% y/y to BAM 4.1bn in January-September, reflecting improved economic activity and low prior-year base. Imports, on the other hand, contracted by 3.6% y/y to BAM 9.7bn.
Higher primary income account surplus which was underpinned by rising investment revenue (up 14.6% y/y to BAM 90mn) also contributed to the January-September gap narrowing. The surplus of the service account, likewise, increased by 4.3% on the year at BAM 1.7bn as higher income from tourism offset falling processing services revenue.
The surplus of the financial account shrank 46.3% y/y to BAM 761mn in January-September, despite strong increase of net FDI. The latter climbed 37% to BAM 518mn over the period. They covered over 46% of the current account deficit, up from just 19% the year before.
Bosnia's 2012 current account gap narrowed 1.7% to BAM 2.5bn after widening by close to 66% in 2011, mainly due to higher service (transport, travel and construction) revenue which offset slower increase of the foreign trade gap.
Bosnia's balance of payments (BAM mn) | Jan-Sep'12 | Jan-Sep'13 | y/y, % |
Current account | -1,942.3 | -1,123.2 | -42.2 |
Foreign trade balance (goods) | -6,332.5 | -5,629.5 | -11.1 |
Services | 1,621.5 | 1,691.7 | 4.3 |
Primary income | 130.0 | 223.5 | 71.9 |
Secondary income* | 2,638.7 | 2,591.2 | -1.8 |
Capital account | 219.0 | 220.9 | 0.9 |
Financial account** | -1,416.3 | -761.0 | -46.3 |
Net FDI | -378.1 | -518.4 | 37.1 |
Portfolio investments | 19.6 | 93.1 | 376.4 |
Other investments | -906.8 | -855.2 | -5.7 |
Net errors and ommissions | 306.9 | 141.3 | -54.0 |
Source: CBBH; *includes current transfers between residents and non-residents ; **calculated as assets abroad (outflow) minus liabilities (inflow) |
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