Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko is facing his most serious challenge of the 26 years in power. Unprecedented protests have swept the country as three creditable opposition candidates are attempting to run against him in the August 9 elections.
Two of those candidates have been jailed and the third has already been disqualified from the race after half his signatures in his application petition were invalidated.
Will any of the candidates be allowed to stand? And what are the prospects of a Maidan-style revolution? If Lukashenko “wins” the election, as seems highly likely, what concessions will he make to the obvious growing dissatisfaction with his neo-Soviet style of rule?
bne IntelliNews editor-in-chief Ben Aris talks to Alex Kokcharov, a political analyst with IHS Markit about what is going on and what to expect next.
Ben Aris, editor-in-chief, bne IntelliNews
Alex Kokcharov, Principal Analyst for Europe & CIS at IHS Markit