Ukraine’s population falls behind Poland’s for the first time, electronic census says 5mn people lost since 2000

bne IntelliNews January 23, 2020

Ukraine’s population fell behind that of Poland for the first time as an electronic census revealed the number of citizens had fallen by some 5mn people to 37.289mn since the last census in 2000.

Ukraine’s domestic bond market off to a strong start in 2020 as yields fall below 10%

bne IntelliNews January 23, 2020

Ukraine’s domestic bond market got off to a strong start in 2020 as heavy bidding at the weekly auction on January 22 depressed yields to 10%. A year ago Ukraine bonds were yielding 19%.

President of war-hit Ukraine offers 'investment nanny, tax holidays' to potential investors

bne IntelliNews January 23, 2020

Any potential investor who invests more than $100mn in Ukraine, will get a personal "guardian" from the government, according to President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who is at the Davos conference to talk up Ukraine’s investment case.

Ukraine’s retail sales up 10.5% in 2019

bne IntelliNews January 22, 2020

Ukraine’s retail sales grew by a healthy 10.5% y/y in real terms in 2019, accelerating from from 5.8% y/y in 2018, Ukraine’s State Statistics Service reported on January 21.

INTERVIEW: Ukraine gas tariffs stay low, energy sector outlook improves

Ben Aris in Berlin January 22, 2020

After signing off on a new gas transit deal in the last days of last year, Ukrainian authorities backed off their threat to more than triple gas tariffs for domestic producers in an effort to keep the pipeline system from going bankrupt.

East Asian investors ramp up investments in Central and Eastern Europe

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow January 21, 2020

China became the top investor in CEE in 2019, leading fellow East Asian investors that accounted for a growing share of M&A in the region. More deals are expected to follow, says a new report from law firm CMS.

ALACO DISPATCHES: What lies behind oligarch impunity in Ukraine

Nathan Andrews of Alaco January 20, 2020

Efforts to investigate financial crimes have been largely unsuccessful due to endemic corruption within the judiciary.

Ukraine president refuses PM resignation, slams high government salaries

bne IntelliNews January 20, 2020

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy refused to accept Prime Minister Oleksiy Honcharuk resignation tendered last week and decided to give him "a chance if you resolve some things that are very important today and are of concern to our society"

Iran was spooked by US stealth fighter reports when it shot down airliner says Lavrov

bne IntelliNews January 17, 2020

Russian foreign minister says at least six American F-35 aircraft flying in Iranian border area at time Tehran was expecting response to missile strikes on Iraq bases.

Ukrainian Prime Minister Oleksiy Honcharuk quits in midst of tape scandal criticising President Volodymyr Zelenskiy

bne IntelliNews January 17, 2020

Honcharuk quit his post on January 16 a few days after being caught on tape saying Zelenskiy knows nothing about the economy.

Ukraine’s GDP warrants hit par as the country’s economic future brightens

bne IntelliNews January 14, 2020

The GDP warrants that Ukraine gave its sovereign bond holders as compensation for a 20% haircut have appreciated in price and hit par on January 14.

VIENNEAST COMPASS: Risk outlook 2020 – balancing in limbo

Marcus How of Vienneast in Vienna January 14, 2020

CEESE had a good year in 2019, with the economies in the region buoyed by increasing domestic consumption and capital spending that allowed the region to decouple from western Europe.

Ukraine consumer inflation ends 2019 at 4.1%

bne IntelliNews January 13, 2020

Ukraine’s consumer prices declined 0.2% month-on-month in December from 0.1% m/m growth in November, while annual inflation slowed to 4.1% y/y from 5.1% in November

How interconnected are the economies of Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan? Inflation and rates outlook for 2020

Ben Aris in Berlin January 12, 2020

In 1991 the Soviet Union broke apart and created 15 independent countries. But over the last three decades, while these countries are politically independent, the economies of Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan (KRUB) remain joined at the hip.

Iran’s admission it shot down airliner with missile sparks anti-regime street unrest

bne IntelliNews January 12, 2020

Pro-regime protesters, meanwhile, set alight union jack after UK ambassador detained after leaving vigil for victims at which chanting started.

OUTLOOK 2020 Ukraine

bne IntelliNews January 10, 2020

2020 will be a big year for Ukraine as there is a possibility that a peace deal could be reached with Russia and the effects of the first round of reforms made by the new Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s administration start to kick in.

US, Canada ‘confident Iran downed Ukraine flight PS752 with missile’

bne IntelliNews January 9, 2020

Iranian civil aviation chief insists: “Scientifically, it is impossible that a missile hit the Ukrainian plane, and such rumours are illogical.”

Ukraine international reserves grew by 22% in 2019

bne IntelliNews January 9, 2020

Ukraine's reserves hit a 14 year high of $25.3bn in 2019

Iran’s refusal to hand over black boxes incites suspicions over fate of Ukraine flight PS752

bne IntelliNews January 8, 2020

Aircraft crashed hours after Iranian missile attack on Iraq airbases began. Ukrainian president cautions against "speculation or unchecked theories" but little has yet been ruled out.

Ukrainian commercial flight crashes after takeoff in Iran killing all on board

bne IntelliNews January 8, 2020

A Ukrainian commercial airliner carrying at least 170 passengers crashed shortly after taking off from Tehran's Imam Khomeini airport in the early hours of January 8 killing everyone on board.