Ukraine reports 4.2% y/y GDP growth in July-September

Ukraine reports 4.2% y/y GDP growth in July-September
Ukraine's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 4.2% year-on-year in July-September, which is higher that expected by the nation's central bank.
By bne IntelliNews November 15, 2019

Ukraine's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 4.2% year-on-year in July-September, which is higher that expected by the nation's central bank.

According to the state statistics service Ukrstat, the growth rate stood at 4.6% y/y in the second quarter, at 2.5% y/y in the first quarter.

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) estimated recently the nation's GDP growth at 3.5% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2019, according to the NBU's inflation report published last week. According to the NBU's forecast, the growth of Ukraine's GDP in the fourth quarter of 2019 will be 3.3% y/y.

In October, the regulator revised its economic growth forecast upwards, to 3.5% y/y in 2019 and 2020 and 4% y/y in 2021. "The revision was driven by the sustained domestic demand, higher productivity in agricultural production, and improved consumer sentiment. In the meantime, slower growth in the global economy and worsened terms of trade will weigh on economic growth in 2020," the central bank's statement reads.

The NBU added that slower growth in the global economy and worsened terms of trade will weigh on economic growth in 2020. The 2019–2021 current account deficit will remain "acceptable". Despite the stronger hryvnia, the current account deficit in 2019 will narrow to 2.9% of GDP, thanks to an improvement in the terms of trade and the rich grain harvest.

Data

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