Lithuanians worry about fallout from Belarus sanctions
INTERVIEW: “The weekend’s protests were the Russian people's, not the opposition’s” – Maxim Reznik
Western Balkans citizens legally resident in EU equal to 14% of region’s population
International Ice Hockey Federation (IIHF) has stripped Belarus of the right to hold the World Championship this year
Russia's Sberbank makes a move in e-commerce with Goods.ru deal
Putin strikes a conciliatory tone in his World Economic Forum speech but warns of an “all against all” fight if tensions are ignored
OUTLOOK 2021 Russia
@russian_market sacked by UBS for supporting Navalny
Public support is collapsing for The People’s Servant Party
Ukraine’s industrial output jumped 4.8% y/y in December
State-owned Ukrgasbank signs off on convertible €30mn IFC loan ahead of its privatisation
National Bank of Ukraine retains a key policy rate at 6%, the outlook of the CPI deteriorates
Estonia's two big parties agree on grand coalition
VISEGRAD BLOG: Central Europe's populists need a new strategy for Biden
LONG READ: The oligarch problem
China to be excluded from Czech tender for new Dukovany nuclear unit
Czech billionaire Kellner´s PPF makes another bid for Moneta Money Bank
Czech MPs pass protectionist food law in violation of EU rules
M&A in Central and Eastern Europe fell 16% in value in 2020, says CMS report
Hungarian government plans to regulate big tech to stop 'ban' on rightwing views
Hungarian vehicle makers hit by supply chain shortage
Protests sweep Poland after government launches near-total abortion ban
Polish parcel locker operator InPost soars in Euronext Amsterdam debut
Polish industrial production continues boom in December
OUTLOOK 2021 Slovakia
BRICKS & MORTAR: Rosier future beckons for CEE retailers after year of change and disruption
FDI inflows to CEE down 58% in 1H20 but rebound expected
BALKAN BLOG: Only better waste management can clean rivers of trash
Pandemic pushes public debt close to 80% of GDP in Albania and Montenegro
BALKAN BLOG: Superstition and resentment surround vaccination plans
Albania needs reforms for e-commerce to thrive, says World Bank
Bosnia's exports in 2020 amounted to BAM10.5bn, trade deficit to BAM6.3bn
Bulgaria’s latest nuclear u-turn
Retailers and restaurant owners threaten protests in Bulgaria if reopening is delayed
Bulgaria's Biodit first company to IPO on new BEAM market
Spring lockdown caused spike in online transactions in Croatia
ING: Growth in the Balkans: from zero to hero again?
Labour demand down 28% y/y in Croatia in 2020
Kosovo’s biggest opposition party risks being unable to run in general election
OUTLOOK 2021 Moldova
Storming parliaments: New Europe's greatest hits
World Bank revises projection for Moldova’s 2020 GDP decline to 7.2%
Montenegro’s special prosecution probes finance minister over €750mn Eurobond issue
North Macedonia’s state-owned loss-makers await new owners
North Macedonia plans to cut personal income tax in IT sector to zero in 2023
Romanian cybersecurity company Safetech floats shares amid rising investor interest
Romania government to pursue “ambitious” timetable for justice reforms
Private finance mobilised by development banks up 9% to $175bn in 2019
EBRD and WBIF support fast broadband in rural Serbia
Slovenia plans region's longest-tenor Eurobond
Slovenian crypto payment system enters Thai market
Slovenia’s economic sentiment indicator up 2.2 pp m/m in January
Slovenia lost €10bn by neglecting wood industry for decades
Turkish groceries delivery app Getir goes online in London
D’S Damat franchise deals ‘show Turkey’s hard-pressed mall operators becoming their own tenants’
Turkey’s benchmark rate held as concerns over faltering recovery come to fore
Following war with Armenia, Azerbaijan gains control of lucrative gold mines
CAUCASUS BLOG : What can Biden offer the Caucasus and Stans, all but forgotten about by Trump?
Armenia ‘to extend life of its 1970s Metsamor nuclear power plant after 2026’
OUTLOOK 2021 Azerbaijan
OUTLOOK 2021 Georgia
“Try me” not telecoms minister Iran’s president tells hardliners in internet row
Iran’s President Khamenei menaces private citizen Trump
Iran’s technology minister indicted for failing to properly implement internet censorship
No US move to rejoin Iran nuclear deal imminent, say Biden national security nominees
COVID-19 and Trump’s indifference helped human rights abusers in 2020
Central Asia vaccination plans underwhelm, but governments look unruffled
Fears of authoritarianism as Kyrgyz populist wins landslide and backing for ‘Khanstitution’
COMMENT: Mongolia is an island of democracy
OUTLOOK 2021 Mongolia
Mongolia's PM quits amid protests over treatment of mother with coronavirus and newborn baby
Mongolia's winter dzud set to be one of most extreme on record says Red Cross
Tajikistan: Writing for the president is on the wall (and then scrubbed off)
OUTLOOK 2021 Turkmenistan
Turkmenistan: How the Grinch stole New Year
COMMENT: Uzbekistan is being transformed, but where are the democratic reforms?
Download the pdf version
More...
Russian stocks and the ruble jumped in value on November 9 following the conclusion of the US election and an announcement by US pharmaceutical firm Pfizer that it has a working vaccine against coronavirus (COVID-19).
The dollar-denominated Russia Trading System (RTS) gained 4.3% on the day and broke back above the 1,200 mark after languishing at around 1,000 for the last few weeks as investors left emerging markets (EM) on the back of fears of a persistent and damaging second wave of the pandemic sweeping the planet.
The Russian market was doubly hit as the same fears depressed oil prices that slid from earlier highs of around $45 to around $37 as oil producers predicted that demand next year would be reduced by the pandemic.
Oil prices also recovered on November 9 to $42, helping to lift Russian stocks.
The ruble-denominated MOEX Russia Index also made gains, rising 2.3% on the day.
The ruble also made gains on the good news, and was up 2% on the day to end at RUB76.34 against the dollar and RUB90.19 against the euro. The currency reached an intra-day high of RUB75.9 against the dollar, amongst its highest value in recent weeks. The ruble has now gained almost 6% from where it stood on the eve of the US presidential election.
The ruble has taken a beating this year and is seen to be heavily undervalued at the moment due to the weight of multiple problems, including the threat of new sanctions on Russia imposed by the incoming Biden administration in the US, following the presidential elections there.
Pfizer and its German partner BioNTech said their vaccine, currently in Phase 3 medical trials, was 90% effective in preventing COVID-19 infections. It is the most detailed and promising public update yet published on vaccine effectiveness from one of the handful of vaccines which have undergone widespread testing among volunteers.
Russian authorities also announced that its Sputnik V vaccine was also 90% effective. It was one of the first vaccines to appear, but the public remain very sceptical about its effectiveness.
Russia’s biggest winners were stocks which have suffered heavily this year amid unprecedented shutdowns of the global economy – airlines and oil companies.
The metals and mining stocks were doing well before the crises struck in February and are returning a positive 7% YTD, gaining 2ppt during November 9 trading. The consumer goods sector also gained about the same and is now returning a positive 6% YTD.
The rest of the sectors are still underwater from where they stood at the end of February, but most of them gained 2-3ppt on the day. Most noticeably the oil & gas sector was lifted 8ppt from a -42% lost YTD to end the day down at -36%. However, that is still down from the roughly 33% loss the sector was showing a month ago, and investors remain very sceptical of the sector.
The best performer of the day was Aeroflot, which added almost 8% on the day as of 4pm Moscow-time, while energy companies Lukoil, Tatneft and Novatek claimed the next three spots on the leader board.
Still, Russian gains lagged the market increases across Europe, where the London benchmark FTSE 100 was up by more than 5% and the Eurostoxx 50, which tracks the 50 largest companies based in the Eurozone, added more than 6%, reports the Moscow Times.
Markets have also been lifted by Joe Biden’s victory in the US elections. While Biden is anticipated to be tough on Russia and introduce more sanctions, those fears are offset by the return to more predictable “normal” politics that will allow better forecasting. Also a key change will be that Biden is expected to abandon US President Donald Trump’s policy of starting trade wars, which is very damaging not only for the balance of payments, but has also proved a big disincentive to foreign investors, who increasingly invested in the US as a hedge against getting caught up in a trade war. That is expected to change now, with US capital going overseas again under Biden in the hunt for better returns, according to Charlie Robinson, chief economist at Renaissance Capital.
Register here to continue reading this article and 5 more for free or purchase 12 months full website access including the bne Magazine for just $250/year.
Register to read the bne monthly magazine for free:
Already registered
Password could contain only a-z0-9\+*?[^]$(){}=!<>|:-_ characters and have 8-20 symbols length.
Please complete your registration by confirming your email address.
A confirmation email has been sent to the email address you provided.
Forgotten password?
Email field can't be empty.
No user with this email address.
Access recovery request has expired, or you are using the wrong recovery token. Please, try again.
Access recover request has expired. Please, try again.
To continue viewing our content you need to complete the registration process.
Please look for an email that was sent to with the subject line "Confirmation bne IntelliNews access". This email will have instructions on how to complete registration process. Please check in your "Junk" folder in case this communication was misdirected in your email system.
If you have any questions please contact us at sales@intellinews.com
Sorry, but you have used all your free articles fro this month for bne IntelliNews. Subscribe to continue reading for only $119 per year.
Your subscription includes:
For the meantime we are also offering a free subscription to bne's digital weekly newspaper to subscribers to the online package.
Click here for more subscription options, including to the print version of our flagship monthly magazine:
More subscription options
Take a trial to our premium daily news service aimed at professional investors that covers the 30 countries of emerging Europe:
Get IntelliNews PRO
For any other enquiries about our products or corporate discounts please contact us at sales@intellinews.com
If you no longer wish to receive our emails, unsubscribe here.
Magazine annual electronic subscription
Magazine annual print subscription
Website & Archive annual subscription
Combined package: web access & magazine print annual subscription