The Mitteleuropean view: Putin’s Belarusian ace stays in the hole?

Gunter Deuber of Raiffeisen Research in Vienna, Marcus How of Vienneast in Vienna September 10, 2019

Negotiations between Belarus and Russia on deeper economic integration are nearing completion, and the potential for surprises – such as a political or currency union – is expected to diminish.

Stagnation in Russia: how many opportunities are there for international (investment) banks in the rest of the CIS region?

Gunter Deuber of Raiffeisen Research in Vienna August 28, 2019

Russia is not a growing market for international banking and capital market business at present. That's why people like to look for business and deal opportunities in smaller regional markets in the CIS region.

Who’s behind the proposed Turkish buyer of British Steel?

GPW Political Risk August 23, 2019

GPW Political Risk on how the move by a military pension fund unit to acquire the unloved, neglected UK company may have been motivated by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s personal agenda—and he may require a political quid pro quo.

Russian sanctions fifth anniversary, but no reason to celebrate

Gunter Deuber of Raiffeisen Research in Vienna, Ruslan Gadeev of Raiffeisen Research in Vienna August 14, 2019

This summer mark the fifth anniversary of Western sanctions against Russia. But taking a quick look at Russian economic and financial sector indicators and you'd wonder if the sanctions are still in place.

COMMENT: Romania's inflation above 4% again

ING August 13, 2019

At 4.1% y/y, Romania's July inflation will probably be the highest print for the year, ING analysts write.