Eurasia / Opinion

RIMMER: Cultural learnings

Julian Rimmer in London January 10, 2022

“Cultural Learnings of America For Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan?” It would appear the Kazakh president, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, a sinister dictator straight from central casting, would not appreciate Borat’s insight.

The West’s tricky relationship with Kazakhstan gets more complicated

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow January 8, 2022

Western government officials have long had to reconcile their desire for Kazakhstan’s vast natural resources with the country’s poor record on democracy and human rights.

DEATH OF THE SOVIET UNION: BOOK REVIEW – Reassessing the causes of the Soviet demise

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow December 28, 2021

Vladislav Zubok’s book Collapse: the fall of the Soviet Union examines the causes of the breakup of the Soviet Union and challenges the view that the collapse was inevitable.

DEATH OF THE SOVIET UNION: Strong institutions are better than a strongman leader

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow December 17, 2021

The 30 years since the fall of communism show that strong institutions served the transition countries better than a strongman leader — despite a widespread belief to the contrary, found a webinar organised by wiiw.

NEMETHY: Can the Fed engineer a soft landing?

Les Nemethy CEO and founder of Euro-Phoenix Financial Advisors December 12, 2021

If th tightens too far too fast (e.g. tapers bond purchases and hikes rates), stock and bond markets will crash; if it allows the current exceedingly loose monetary policy to prevail, inflation may careen out of control. What will it do?

COMMENT: The West must cut a deal with the Taliban to prevent mass starvation in Afghanistan

Louise Grogan for The Conversation December 7, 2021

The lack of food security in Afghanistan may soon become a threat to the stability of many other countries.

Iran nuclear talks might be heading towards “coma option”

bne IntelIiNews December 6, 2021

Analyst says it might suit all sides to agree outcome in which JCPOA “would all but die”, with the parties to then pretend it was still alive to avoid crisis its official death would spur.

ING: Sticky inflation risks force CEE central bankers to keep on hiking rates

Valentin Tataru chief economist for Romania at ING, Peter Virovacz Senior Economist in Hungary at ING, Leszek Kasek is the Senior Economist in Poland at ING, Rafal Benecki is the Chief Economist in Poland at ING November 12, 2021

Disruptions in global value chains continue to weigh on Central and Eastern Europe, and the Delta variant is blurring the outlook for the fourth quarter. Record high inflation can no longer be written off as temporary as rates rise across CEE.

THE VIEW FROM MITTELEUROPA: German traffic light coalition could worsen frictions with CEE

Marcus How and Gunter Deuber in Vienna November 1, 2021

A new centre-left government in Berlin could help create a two-tier Europe, especially if it promotes rule of law penalties.

Perspectives | Russia’s (not so free) trade agenda

Aruzhan Meirkhanova for Eurasianet October 19, 2021

Recurring import bans by the Russian agricultural watchdog attest to a problem with Moscow’s idea of free trade.