Turkey’s economic confidence hits five-month high in June

Turkey’s economic confidence hits five-month high in June
By bne IntelliNews June 29, 2016

Confidence in Turkish economy improved for the fifth straight month in June with consumers and companies shrugging off worries about domestic political uncertainties and rising security threats.

The headline confidence index rose by 1.3% m/m in June with consumer confidence improving by 1% on the month, while confidence in the construction and services industries edging up 2.2% m/m and 1.3% m/m respectively, data from the statistics office TUIK showed on June 29.

The sub-index measuring the real sector confidence, however, fell 1.3% m/m, after remaining flat in the previous month. Confidence in the retail industry plummeted with the respective indicator dropping 4% m/m, to follow a 0.1% m/m decline in May.

The attack on Istanbul’s largest airport on June 28 by suspected Islamic State militants has once again highlighted rising security risks, suggesting violence in Syria is spilling over into the country at a time when Turkey is also stepping up fight against the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK).

Still, the impact of the June 28 bombing on Turkish markets have been rather limited. The main stock exchange index fell 0.59% but the lira gained 0.17% against the dollar, supported by Ankara’s efforts to mend ties with Israel and Russia. Investors are optimistic that restoring ties with Moscow and Tel Aviv will boost Turkey’s slowing economy and provide a much needed boost to the country’s struggling tourism industry.

Turkey's Confidence Indices  
  Dec-14 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec-15 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Economic 94.9 86.5 86.5 72.6 82.6 104.8 100.8 83.9 71.5 78.3 73.5 82.3 83.3
Consumer 67.7 64.7 62.4 58.5 62.8 77.1 73.6 71.6 66.6 67.0 68.5 68.8 69.4
Real Sector 108.0 103.1 103.1 99.7 103.6 110.2 108.8 105.9 105.2 104.1 105.7 105.7 104.3
Services 98.8 100.4 100.2 98.1 98.2 100.0 99.0 92.5 89.2 93.5 89.9 94.5 95.8
Retail 105.4 103.7 102.0 98.4 100.8 105.4 104.9 108.8 106.2 110.5 104.0 103.8 99.7
Construction 82.7 83.0 82.3 80.9 80.5 84.5 85.1 83.9 82.8 81.4 81.5 79.2 80.9
source: tuik  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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