Tanzania’s current account gap for the year to end-June narrowed by 22.5% y/y to $4.09bn on the back of rising exports and shrinking imports, the country’s central bank said in its latest monthly economic review.
Exports of goods and services grew 9.4% y/y to $9.4bn in the 12-month period, whereas imports fell 4.3% y/y to $13.37bn, resulting in a 26.1% contraction of the deficit on the goods and services account to $3.97bn.
Tourism remained the country’s main source of foreign exchange earnings, with travel receipts of $2.2bn, up 11.5% y/y on the back of growing number of tourist arrivals. Exports of manufactured products rose 14% y/y to $1.32bn and that of traditional exports, which include tobacco, coffee, cotton, cashew nuts, and tea, among others, increased 8.6% y/y to $907.7mn. On the other hand, the value of gold exports dropped 16.8% y/y to $1.23bn amid weak bullion prices and lower volumes.
The improvement in the trade and services balance was partly offset by a 7.2% expansion of the primary income deficit and a 22.7% contraction in the secondary income surplus. Inflows to the government, which comprise grants and loans, remained significantly lower y/y, reflecting smaller program grants from development partners. Tanzania is one of Africa's biggest per-capita aid recipients. A group of 12 international donors withheld in October 2014 budget support pledges worth nearly $500mn following a corruption scandal in the energy sector.
In June alone, Tanzania recorded a current account gap of $546.1mn, up 58% m/m, but down 13% y/y. The data suggests that some donors have restored budget support.
The Bank of Tanzania disclosed also that its gross official foreign exchange reserves widened 13.7% m/m to $4.4bn at end-June, sufficient to cover 4.2 months of projected imports of goods and services excluding those financed by foreign direct investment (3.7 month at end-May). At the same time, the gross foreign assets of banks stood at $1.04bn, up 4% from end-May.
$bn | year to end-June 2015 | year to end-June 2014 | y/y change | June 2015 | May 2015 | June 2014 | June, m/m change | June, y/y change |
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE | -4 093.8 | -5 281.2 | -22.5% | -475.8 | -300.6 | -546.1 | 58.3% | -12.9% |
Trade balance | -4 944.7 | -6 098.7 | -18.9% | -485.1 | -344.9 | -567.0 | 40.6% | -14.4% |
-exports of goods | 5 714.7 | 5 248.4 | 8.9% | 501.8 | 444.0 | 386.6 | 13.0% | 29.8% |
-imports of goods | 10 659.5 | 11 347.1 | -6.1% | 987.0 | 788.8 | 953.6 | 25.1% | 3.5% |
Services balance | 971.1 | 721.9 | 34.5% | 61.7 | 65.9 | 38.3 | -6.4% | 60.8% |
-receipts | 3 681.8 | 3 340.9 | 10.2% | 291.5 | 271.4 | 249.7 | 7.4% | 16.7% |
-payments | 2 710.7 | 2 619.1 | 3.5% | 229.8 | 205.5 | 211.4 | 11.8% | 8.7% |
Goods and services balance | -3 973.6 | -5 376.9 | -26.1% | -423.5 | -279.0 | -528.7 | 51.8% | -19.9% |
-exports | 9 396.5 | 8 589.3 | 9.4% | 793.3 | 715.4 | 636.3 | 10.9% | 24.7% |
-imports | 13 370.1 | 13 966.2 | -4.3% | 1216.8 | 994.3 | 1165.0 | 22.4% | 4.4% |
Primary income balance | -694.9 | -648.1 | 7.2% | -90.6 | -44.9 | -41.3 | 101.8% | 119.4% |
-receipts | 121.3 | 123.7 | -1.9% | 9.0 | 6.9 | 10.6 | 30.4% | -15.1% |
-payments | 816.1 | 771.9 | 5.7% | 99.5 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 92.1% | 91.7% |
Secondary income balance | 574.7 | 743.9 | -22.7% | 38.3 | 23.2 | 23.9 | 65.1% | 60.3% |
-inflows | 650.8 | 800.0 | -18.7% | 41.8 | 29.4 | 29.1 | 42.2% | 43.6% |
--general government | 289.9 | 439.0 | -34.0% | 12.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 12600% | n.a. |
-outflows | 76.1 | 56.2 | 35.4% | 3.6 | 6.2 | 5.2 | -41.9% | -30.8% |
Source: Bank of Tanzania |
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